Steelers vs. Bengals Player Props | Best NFL Prop Bets Today: Best NFL Player Props, Anytime TD Scorer (SNF Best Bets)

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The Kalshi promo code (LABS55) is my most highly recommended choice for new traders to claim on today’s Sunday Night Football’s AFC North showdown. This Steelers vs. Bengals prediction is highlighted with all the best Steelers vs. Bengals player props to trade.

  • Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2): The Steelers have won four straight and arrive rested off their bye, holding the tiebreaker after a 30-27 win in Week 3. Jaylen Warren leads the NFL at 5.92 yards per carry, and Michael Pittman Jr. could return from a foot injury.
  • Cincinnati Bengals (6-2): The Bengals are off to their best start since 2015, have won four straight, and are 3.5-point home favorites. Joe Burrow leads the NFL in completion rate, passing yards per game and passing touchdowns.

Here are the Steelers vs. Bengals player props I’m trading on Kalshi, ranked from highest to lowest implied probability.

🏈 Pick🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade on Kalshi
Joe Burrow 2+ Passing TDYes | 71%$141.84Trade Now!
Ja’Marr Chase Under 9 ReceptionsNo | 67%$148.34Trade Now!
Aaron Rodgers 225+ Passing YardsYes | 65%$154.83Trade Now!
Jaylen Warren 60+ Rushing YardsYes | 62%$162.11Trade Now!
Tee Higgins 70+ Receiving YardsYes | 59%$168.22Trade Now!
Joe Burrow Under 300 Passing YardsNo | 56%$179.40Trade Now!
Chase Brown Anytime TDYes | 50%$201Trade Now!
Tee Higgins Anytime TDYes | 47%$210.70Trade Now!
DK Metcalf Anytime TDYes | 36%$281.11Trade Now!
Pat Freiermuth Anytime TDYes | 25%$395.58Trade Now!

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Best NFL Prop Bets Today: Steelers vs. Bengals Player Props on Kalshi

These are real trades on Kalshi, each priced off a $100 ticket, and they pair well with the best NFL prop bets today across the best prediction market apps and the rest of our NFL coverage. Kalshi’s board prices sit a point or two below the average each ticket fills at, so the tables use the ticket price.

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Best QB Passing Prop Today: Joe Burrow 2+ Passing Touchdowns

🏈 Pick🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade on Kalshi
Joe Burrow 2+ Passing TDYes | 71%$141.84Trade Now!

Joe Burrow has thrown at least three touchdown passes in each of his last four games, and he leads the NFL with 23 touchdown passes through eight games. Cincinnati is also scoring touchdowns on 68.8% of its red zone trips, a top-five rate in the league.

Pittsburgh has allowed the fifth-fewest points per game (18.0), yet Burrow is the only passer to throw multiple touchdown passes against the Steelers this season. He went 28-of-37 for 282 yards and three scores in Week 3.

Burrow also leads the NFL with a 74.7% completion rate against zone coverage, and he has 11 touchdowns against it. Pittsburgh runs zone on 84.3% of its dropbacks, so this matchup plays right into his hands.

Kalshi’s board shows Yes at 69¢, but a $100 buy fills at an average of 71%, so that is the price I use in the table. Buying Yes gets you roughly 142 contracts, and each one pays $1 if Burrow throws at least two touchdown passes.

  • If Burrow throws 2+ touchdown passes: Return of $141.84 on your $100.
  • If he throws one touchdown pass or none: You lose the full $100.

That is roughly a 1.4x return on the $100 stake.

Best Receiving Prop Today: Ja’Marr Chase Under 9 Receptions

🏈 Pick🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade on Kalshi
Ja’Marr Chase Under 9 ReceptionsNo | 67%$148.34Trade Now!

Nine catches is a high bar even for Ja’Marr Chase. He has 53 receptions through eight games, a pace of about 6.6 per game, and he averages 7.0 catches in his six career games against Pittsburgh with Burrow at quarterback.

Cincinnati spreads the wealth in this offense. Tee Higgins is fifth in the NFL at 94.8 receiving yards per game, and Mike Gesicki has at least six receiving touchdowns, so Burrow has plenty of places to go with the ball.

This is a fade of the ceiling rather than a fade of Chase. He caught nine passes in Week 3 and 10 in Madrid, so the risk is a heavy-target game, especially if the Bengals play from behind.

Kalshi’s board shows No at 65¢, but a $100 buy fills at an average of 67%, so that is the price I use in the table. Buying No on the 9+ contract gets you roughly 148 contracts, and each one pays $1 if Chase finishes with eight catches or fewer.

  • If Chase catches eight or fewer passes: Return of $148.34 on your $100.
  • If he catches nine or more: You lose the full $100.

That is roughly a 1.5x return on the $100 stake.

Best QB Passing Prop Today: Aaron Rodgers 225+ Passing Yards

🏈 Pick🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade on Kalshi
Aaron Rodgers 225+ Passing YardsYes | 65%$154.83Trade Now!

Aaron Rodgers has 1,871 passing yards through eight games, about 234 per game, and he threw for close to 300 yards and three touchdowns against this same Cincinnati defense in Week 3.

The Bengals lead the NFL in third-down conversion rate at 53.6%, which means Pittsburgh may need to answer through the air instead of leaning on the run. Cincinnati also allows a league-worst 5.04 yards per carry, so the Steelers can mix in the ground game and still hit this number.

Rodgers could get Michael Pittman Jr. back after four missed games with a foot injury, and Pittsburgh’s passing game works underneath, with 26.2% of attempts at or behind the line of scrimmage. That quick, high-volume style helps a 225-yard line more than it would a deep-ball number.

Kalshi’s board shows Yes at 62¢, but a $100 buy fills at an average of 65%, so that is the price I use in the table. Buying Yes gets you roughly 155 contracts, and each one pays $1 if Rodgers throws for at least 225 yards.

  • If Rodgers throws for 225 or more yards: Return of $154.83 on your $100.
  • If he finishes below 225 yards: You lose the full $100.

That is roughly a 1.5x return on the $100 stake.

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Best Rushing Prop Today: Jaylen Warren 60+ Rushing Yards

🏈 Pick🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade on Kalshi
Jaylen Warren 60+ Rushing YardsYes | 62%$162.11Trade Now!

Jaylen Warren leads the NFL with 5.92 yards per carry in the middle of a career year. Cincinnati’s run defense ranks 25th while allowing an NFL-high 5.04 yards per carry.

Warren has two 100-yard games in his last three meetings with the Bengals. In Week 3 he ran for 127 yards on 17 carries and added 49 receiving yards.

The caution is a shared backfield, since Rico Dowdle returned in Week 8 and carried 15 times for 56 yards and a touchdown against Cleveland. Still, 60 yards is a modest line for a back averaging nearly six yards per carry.

Kalshi’s board shows Yes at 60¢, but a $100 buy fills at an average of 62%, so that is the price I use in the table. Buying Yes gets you roughly 162 contracts, and each one pays $1 if Warren runs for at least 60 yards.

  • If Warren runs for 60 or more yards: Return of $162.11 on your $100.
  • If he finishes below 60 yards: You lose the full $100.

That is roughly a 1.6x return on the $100 stake.

Best Receiving Prop Today: Tee Higgins 70+ Receiving Yards

🏈 Pick🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade on Kalshi
Tee Higgins 70+ Receiving YardsYes | 59%$168.22Trade Now!

Tee Higgins is fifth in the NFL at 94.8 receiving yards per game, with 758 yards on 48 catches and six touchdowns through eight games.

He went for 90 yards and a touchdown on six catches in the first meeting with Pittsburgh. Cincinnati also funnels targets to its top two receivers, with Chase or Higgins drawing 48.5% of Burrow’s passes.

Variance is the risk, since Higgins caught five passes for just 32 yards in Madrid even while scoring twice. But with Burrow averaging 303.7 passing yards per game during the four-game winning streak, 70 yards is a number Higgins can clear on volume alone.

Kalshi’s board shows Yes at 56¢, but a $100 buy fills at an average of 59%, so that is the price we use in the table. Buying Yes gets you roughly 168 contracts, and each one pays $1 if Higgins reaches 70 receiving yards.

  • If Higgins reaches 70 or more receiving yards: Return of $168.22 on your $100.
  • If he finishes below 70 yards: You lose the full $100.

That is roughly a 1.7x return on the $100 stake.

Best QB Passing Prop Today: Joe Burrow Under 300 Passing Yards

🏈 Pick🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade on Kalshi
Joe Burrow Under 300 Passing YardsNo | 56%$179.40Trade Now!

Joe Burrow averages 298.3 passing yards per game, so 300 sits right on his mean. He finished below that mark in both the Week 3 game against Pittsburgh (282 yards) and last week in Madrid (271 yards).

Pittsburgh has allowed just 5.8 passing yards per play, ninth-fewest in the NFL, and it gives up an explosive play on only 10.4% of its defensive snaps, tied for the third-lowest rate in the league.

The Steelers have also sacked Burrow 24 times in eight meetings, and T.J. Watt ranks among the NFL’s top five with 7.5 sacks. Burrow’s touchdown volume (16 touchdown passes over his last four games) does not require 300 yards to keep coming.

Kalshi’s board shows No at 54¢, but a $100 buy fills at an average of 56%, so that is the price I use in the table. Buying No on the 300+ contract gets you roughly 179 contracts, and each one pays $1 if Burrow finishes with 299 passing yards or fewer.

  • If Burrow throws for 299 or fewer yards: Return of $179.40 on your $100.
  • If he throws for 300 or more: You lose the full $100.

That is roughly a 1.8x return on the $100 stake.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today: Chase Brown Anytime Touchdown

🏈 Pick🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade on Kalshi
Chase Brown Anytime TDYes | 50%$201Trade Now!

Chase Brown has just one rushing touchdown this season and was averaging 47.5 rushing yards per game through Week 8, so this is the thinnest scoring track record on my card.

The case is Cincinnati’s scoring environment. The Bengals have turned 22 of 32 red zone trips into touchdowns, they have scored at least 30 points in four straight wins. Brown stays involved as a receiver, with eight catches in the win over Tennessee.

The matchup is a real hurdle, since Pittsburgh allows 3.6 yards per carry, tied for fourth-fewest in the NFL. The Bengals appear to be losing faith in Brown’s rushing attempts. That is why the market prices him close to a coin flip.

Kalshi’s board shows Yes at 48¢, but a $100 buy fills at an average of 50%, so that is the price we use in the table. Buying Yes gets you roughly 201 contracts, and each one pays $1 if Brown scores a touchdown.

  • If Brown scores a touchdown: Return of $201 on your $100.
  • If he does not score: You lose the full $100.

That is roughly a 2x return on the $100 stake.

Updated on 11/14/26

Kalshi
Trade $25, Get $55!
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/55. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today: Tee Higgins Anytime Touchdown

🏈 Pick🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade on Kalshi
Tee Higgins Anytime TDYes | 47%$210.70Trade Now!

Tee Higgins has caught five touchdowns during the Bengals’ four-game winning streak, has six receiving scores on the season, and found the end zone against Pittsburgh in Week 3.

He has two receiving touchdowns in each of his past two games. Cincinnati has just three rushing touchdowns over the last four games. Two of them belong to Burrow, so the receivers are collecting nearly every score.

Ja’Marr Chase is the favorite on the board, and he has scored in four straight games. Higgins offers a bigger payout for similar usage.

Kalshi’s board shows Yes at 44¢, but a $100 buy fills at an average of 47%, so that is the price I use in the table. Buying Yes gets you roughly 211 contracts, and each one pays $1 if Higgins scores a touchdown.

  • If Higgins scores a touchdown: Return of $210.70 on your $100.
  • If he does not score: You lose the full $100.

That is roughly a 2.1x return on the $100 stake.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today: DK Metcalf Anytime Touchdown

🏈 Pick🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade on Kalshi
DK Metcalf Anytime TDYes | 36%$281.11Trade Now!

DK Metcalf leads Pittsburgh with 33 catches on 65 targets. But he has only one touchdown this season, and it came against these Bengals in Week 3.

That makes this a matchup play. Pittsburgh scored 30 points on Cincinnati in the first meeting, with Rodgers throwing three touchdowns, so the Steelers know this defense can be attacked through the air.

The risk is competition for targets. Michael Pittman Jr. may return, rookie Germie Bernard has 32 catches, and Rodgers completed passes to nine different players in Week 3. At 36%, the price already reflects that crowded target tree.

Kalshi’s board shows Yes at 34¢, but a $100 buy fills at an average of 36%, so that is the price I use in the table. Buying Yes gets you roughly 281 contracts, and each one pays $1 if Metcalf scores a touchdown.

  • If Metcalf scores a touchdown: Return of $281.11 on your $100.
  • If he does not score: You lose the full $100.

That is roughly a 2.8x return on the $100 stake.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today: Pat Freiermuth Anytime Touchdown

🏈 Pick🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade on Kalshi
Pat Freiermuth Anytime TDYes | 25%$395.58Trade Now!

Pat Freiermuth has been Aaron Rodgers’ go-to red zone target, with four receiving touchdowns in Pittsburgh’s first five games, including two against Indianapolis in Week 5.

He also scored on a one-yard run in the Week 8 win over Cleveland, which shows Pittsburgh will use him near the goal line in more than one way.

The price is long because the volume is not reliable. Freiermuth had two catches for 30 yards in the first meeting with Cincinnati, and Darnell Washington shares the tight end work near the goal line. At 25%, though, one red zone target can pay off the ticket.

Kalshi’s board shows Yes at 24¢, but a $100 buy fills at an average of 25%, so that is the price I use in the table. Buying Yes gets you roughly 396 contracts, and each one pays $1 if Freiermuth scores a touchdown.

  • If Freiermuth scores a touchdown: Return of $395.58 on your $100.
  • If he does not score: You lose the full $100.

That is just under a 4x return on the $100 stake.

Steelers vs. Bengals Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Four of my trades above come from Kalshi’s Anytime Touchdown board, and here is the full board for the Steelers vs. Bengals player props. Passing touchdowns are excluded, so quarterbacks only count if they score on the ground. These are the board’s Yes prices, which sit slightly below the average my $100 tickets filled at. They make for a quick read on every anytime touchdown scorer prediction in this game.

Bengals Anytime Touchdown Scorer Odds

  • Chase Brown (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 48%): My pick above. He has one rushing touchdown all year. But Cincinnati’s red zone efficiency and his receiving role keep him near a coin flip.
  • Joe Burrow (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 14%): A quarterback only cashes here on the ground, and Burrow has run for a score recently. He has two of Cincinnati’s three rushing touchdowns over the past four games.
  • Ja’Marr Chase (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 53%): The board favorite. Chase has scored in four straight games and six of his past seven. He has six touchdowns in six career games against Pittsburgh with Burrow.
  • Jack Endries (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 8%): A seventh-round rookie tight end in a thinned-out room after injuries to Tanner Hudson and Erick All Jr., though a touchdown is still a long shot.
  • Mike Gesicki (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 28%): Gesicki has at least six receiving touchdowns through eight games. He joins Chase and Higgins in a historic trio, so 28% looks modest for that production.
  • Tee Higgins (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 44%): My pick above. He has two touchdowns in each of his last two games and scored on Pittsburgh in Week 3.
  • Dohnte Meyers (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 16%): A former CFL receiver who earned a roster spot in camp, Meyers is a depth option behind Chase and Higgins. A touchdown leans on Cincinnati’s scoring volume instead of a set role.
  • Samaje Perine (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 28%): Offensive coordinator Dan Pitcher has said the weekly game plan determines how Perine and Brown split carries. This keeps Perine in the touchdown mix.
  • Drew Sample (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 10%): A veteran tight end in the same thinned-out room, Sample is a long shot, but the position has been short on healthy bodies.
  • Bengals D/ST (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 13%): Cincinnati pressures opposing quarterbacks on 36.4% of dropbacks, the 12th-highest rate in the NFL. This gives the defense a path to a short field or a score.

Steelers Anytime Touchdown Scorer Odds

  • Germie Bernard (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 25%): The rookie has 32 catches, second on the team behind Metcalf. He scored his first NFL touchdown back in Week 6.
  • Rico Dowdle (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 34%): Back from injury, Dowdle scored on 15 carries in the Week 8 win over Cleveland and gives Pittsburgh a second runner near the goal line next to Warren.
  • Pat Freiermuth (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 24%): My pick above. He has four receiving touchdowns through five games plus a one-yard rushing score in Week 8.
  • DK Metcalf (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 34%): My pick above. His only touchdown this season came against Cincinnati in Week 3.
  • Aaron Rodgers (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 6%): Passing touchdowns do not count in this market. Rodgers only cashes on a rushing score, which explains the price.
  • Brandon Smith (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 7%): A depth wideout who was elevated from the practice squad in Week 6, Smith could slide further down the target order if Michael Pittman Jr. returns.
  • Jaylen Warren (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 47%): The Steelers’ top price. Warren leads the NFL at 5.92 yards per carry and ran for 127 yards on Cincinnati in Week 3. The Bengals allow an NFL-high 5.04 yards per carry.
  • Darnell Washington (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 27%): One of Rodgers’ preferred red zone targets, Washington has scored twice in a two-game stretch and led Pittsburgh with 67 receiving yards in Week 3.
  • Steelers D/ST (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 11%): T.J. Watt has 7.5 sacks, and Derrick Harmon’s strip-sack of Burrow sealed the Week 3 win, so Pittsburgh’s defense can always manufacture a short field or a score.

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What’s Moving the Market

Movement on Kalshi’s Anytime Touchdown board has been small but telling. Rico Dowdle is down four points to 31%, Jaylen Warren and DK Metcalf each slipped two points, and most Steelers skill players drifted lower, while Ja’Marr Chase and Mike Gesicki each ticked up a point.

That fits the broader market. The Bengals are 3.5-point home favorites, and the game opened with a total of 48.5 at DraftKings. This points to a script where Cincinnati scores freely and Pittsburgh has to keep pace. That script favors the passing props among the best NFL player props on this card.

Thursday’s practice reports list no limited skill-position players on either side, with Darnell Washington back to full participation after a rest day. The biggest swing factor for these SNF best bets is whether Michael Pittman Jr. returns. His target share could reshape Pittsburgh’s prices before kickoff.

How to Trade These Steelers vs. Bengals Player Props on Kalshi

Ready to get in on these Steelers vs. Bengals player props? Here’s exactly how to claim the bonus and start trading:

  • Monitor the relevant tab on Kalshi to stay ahead of the live order book movements.
  • When you’re ready, sign up with Kalshi promo code LABS55 to get started!

Updated on 11/14/26

Kalshi
Trade $25, Get $55!
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/55. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.

📝 KALSHI TERMS & CONDITIONS Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/55. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.

Final Thoughts on My Steelers vs. Bengals Prediction

My Steelers vs. Bengals player props lean on Cincinnati’s high-powered passing game, Pittsburgh’s rushing edge, and a handful of touchdown prices that reward patience. If you want the best NFL prop bets today for Sunday night, this card gives you a mix of safer yardage trades and bigger-payout touchdown swings.

Burrow’s touchdown volume and Warren’s matchup anchor the safer end, while Metcalf and Freiermuth bring the largest returns. Together, they make a balanced set of SNF best bets for an AFC North game with first place on the line.

Check the final injury reports before kickoff, and size each trade knowing a full loss is possible on every one.

FAQs

What are the best Steelers vs. Bengals player props for Sunday Night Football?

My card of Steelers vs. Bengals player props includes Joe Burrow 2+ passing touchdowns, Ja’Marr Chase under 9 receptions, Aaron Rodgers 225+ passing yards, Jaylen Warren 60+ rushing yards, Tee Higgins 70+ receiving yards, Burrow under 300 passing yards, and four anytime touchdown picks in Chase Brown, Higgins, DK Metcalf and Pat Freiermuth.

What are the best NFL prop bets today on Kalshi for Steelers vs. Bengals?

The best NFL prop bets today on Kalshi for this game are the ones backed by the strongest matchup data. These are led by Burrow’s touchdown volume against Pittsburgh and Warren’s rushing matchup against the NFL’s worst yards-per-carry defense. Every price in the article comes from a Kalshi buy ticket.

What are the best anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Steelers vs. Bengals?

The best anytime touchdown scorer predictions blend usage and price. Higgins has scored in back-to-back games, Metcalf scored on Cincinnati in Week 3, and Freiermuth has been Rodgers’ main red zone target, while Chase is the board favorite.

Which SNF best bets stand out in Steelers vs. Bengals?

The SNF best bets that stand out are Burrow’s two-touchdown prop and Warren’s rushing yards. Both are tied to clear weaknesses and strengths in this matchup. The first meeting finished 30-27 in Pittsburgh’s favor, so both offenses have a track record against each other.

What is the Steelers vs. Bengals prediction?

My Steelers vs. Bengals prediction centers on player props rather than a side. Cincinnati is a 3.5-point home favorite. Both teams are 6-2 with four-game winning streaks. So the Steelers vs. Bengals player props give more direct value than the point spread.

What are the best NFL player props for Week 10?

The best NFL player props for Week 10 in this game come from the matchup between Cincinnati’s passing game and Pittsburgh’s rushing attack. Burrow and Higgins drive the Bengals’ side, while Warren and Rodgers anchor Pittsburgh’s props.

How do I use the Kalshi promo code for Steelers vs. Bengals?

Create a Kalshi account through the link in this article, complete the qualifying steps shown in the offer box, and enter the promo code displayed there. Then you can trade any of the Steelers vs. Bengals player props on Kalshi.

Where can I watch Steelers vs. Bengals on Sunday Night Football?

Steelers vs. Bengals airs on NBC and streams on Peacock on Sunday, Nov. 15, from Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati.

The Kalshi promo code (LABS55) is my most highly recommended choice for new traders to claim on today’s Sunday Night Football’s AFC North showdown. This Steelers vs. Bengals prediction is highlighted with all the best Steelers vs. Bengals player props to trade.

  • Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2): The Steelers have won four straight and arrive rested off their bye, holding the tiebreaker after a 30-27 win in Week 3. Jaylen Warren leads the NFL at 5.92 yards per carry, and Michael Pittman Jr. could return from a foot injury.
  • Cincinnati Bengals (6-2): The Bengals are off to their best start since 2015, have won four straight, and are 3.5-point home favorites. Joe Burrow leads the NFL in completion rate, passing yards per game and passing touchdowns.

Here are the Steelers vs. Bengals player props I’m trading on Kalshi, ranked from highest to lowest implied probability.

🏈 Pick🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade on Kalshi
Joe Burrow 2+ Passing TDYes | 71%$141.84Trade Now!
Ja’Marr Chase Under 9 ReceptionsNo | 67%$148.34Trade Now!
Aaron Rodgers 225+ Passing YardsYes | 65%$154.83Trade Now!
Jaylen Warren 60+ Rushing YardsYes | 62%$162.11Trade Now!
Tee Higgins 70+ Receiving YardsYes | 59%$168.22Trade Now!
Joe Burrow Under 300 Passing YardsNo | 56%$179.40Trade Now!
Chase Brown Anytime TDYes | 50%$201Trade Now!
Tee Higgins Anytime TDYes | 47%$210.70Trade Now!
DK Metcalf Anytime TDYes | 36%$281.11Trade Now!
Pat Freiermuth Anytime TDYes | 25%$395.58Trade Now!

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Best NFL Prop Bets Today: Steelers vs. Bengals Player Props on Kalshi

These are real trades on Kalshi, each priced off a $100 ticket, and they pair well with the best NFL prop bets today across the best prediction market apps and the rest of our NFL coverage. Kalshi’s board prices sit a point or two below the average each ticket fills at, so the tables use the ticket price.

Use Kalshi promo code LABS55 and Trade $25, Get $55!

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Best QB Passing Prop Today: Joe Burrow 2+ Passing Touchdowns

🏈 Pick🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade on Kalshi
Joe Burrow 2+ Passing TDYes | 71%$141.84Trade Now!

Joe Burrow has thrown at least three touchdown passes in each of his last four games, and he leads the NFL with 23 touchdown passes through eight games. Cincinnati is also scoring touchdowns on 68.8% of its red zone trips, a top-five rate in the league.

Pittsburgh has allowed the fifth-fewest points per game (18.0), yet Burrow is the only passer to throw multiple touchdown passes against the Steelers this season. He went 28-of-37 for 282 yards and three scores in Week 3.

Burrow also leads the NFL with a 74.7% completion rate against zone coverage, and he has 11 touchdowns against it. Pittsburgh runs zone on 84.3% of its dropbacks, so this matchup plays right into his hands.

Kalshi’s board shows Yes at 69¢, but a $100 buy fills at an average of 71%, so that is the price I use in the table. Buying Yes gets you roughly 142 contracts, and each one pays $1 if Burrow throws at least two touchdown passes.

  • If Burrow throws 2+ touchdown passes: Return of $141.84 on your $100.
  • If he throws one touchdown pass or none: You lose the full $100.

That is roughly a 1.4x return on the $100 stake.

Best Receiving Prop Today: Ja’Marr Chase Under 9 Receptions

🏈 Pick🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade on Kalshi
Ja’Marr Chase Under 9 ReceptionsNo | 67%$148.34Trade Now!

Nine catches is a high bar even for Ja’Marr Chase. He has 53 receptions through eight games, a pace of about 6.6 per game, and he averages 7.0 catches in his six career games against Pittsburgh with Burrow at quarterback.

Cincinnati spreads the wealth in this offense. Tee Higgins is fifth in the NFL at 94.8 receiving yards per game, and Mike Gesicki has at least six receiving touchdowns, so Burrow has plenty of places to go with the ball.

This is a fade of the ceiling rather than a fade of Chase. He caught nine passes in Week 3 and 10 in Madrid, so the risk is a heavy-target game, especially if the Bengals play from behind.

Kalshi’s board shows No at 65¢, but a $100 buy fills at an average of 67%, so that is the price I use in the table. Buying No on the 9+ contract gets you roughly 148 contracts, and each one pays $1 if Chase finishes with eight catches or fewer.

  • If Chase catches eight or fewer passes: Return of $148.34 on your $100.
  • If he catches nine or more: You lose the full $100.

That is roughly a 1.5x return on the $100 stake.

Best QB Passing Prop Today: Aaron Rodgers 225+ Passing Yards

🏈 Pick🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade on Kalshi
Aaron Rodgers 225+ Passing YardsYes | 65%$154.83Trade Now!

Aaron Rodgers has 1,871 passing yards through eight games, about 234 per game, and he threw for close to 300 yards and three touchdowns against this same Cincinnati defense in Week 3.

The Bengals lead the NFL in third-down conversion rate at 53.6%, which means Pittsburgh may need to answer through the air instead of leaning on the run. Cincinnati also allows a league-worst 5.04 yards per carry, so the Steelers can mix in the ground game and still hit this number.

Rodgers could get Michael Pittman Jr. back after four missed games with a foot injury, and Pittsburgh’s passing game works underneath, with 26.2% of attempts at or behind the line of scrimmage. That quick, high-volume style helps a 225-yard line more than it would a deep-ball number.

Kalshi’s board shows Yes at 62¢, but a $100 buy fills at an average of 65%, so that is the price I use in the table. Buying Yes gets you roughly 155 contracts, and each one pays $1 if Rodgers throws for at least 225 yards.

  • If Rodgers throws for 225 or more yards: Return of $154.83 on your $100.
  • If he finishes below 225 yards: You lose the full $100.

That is roughly a 1.5x return on the $100 stake.

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Best Rushing Prop Today: Jaylen Warren 60+ Rushing Yards

🏈 Pick🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade on Kalshi
Jaylen Warren 60+ Rushing YardsYes | 62%$162.11Trade Now!

Jaylen Warren leads the NFL with 5.92 yards per carry in the middle of a career year. Cincinnati’s run defense ranks 25th while allowing an NFL-high 5.04 yards per carry.

Warren has two 100-yard games in his last three meetings with the Bengals. In Week 3 he ran for 127 yards on 17 carries and added 49 receiving yards.

The caution is a shared backfield, since Rico Dowdle returned in Week 8 and carried 15 times for 56 yards and a touchdown against Cleveland. Still, 60 yards is a modest line for a back averaging nearly six yards per carry.

Kalshi’s board shows Yes at 60¢, but a $100 buy fills at an average of 62%, so that is the price I use in the table. Buying Yes gets you roughly 162 contracts, and each one pays $1 if Warren runs for at least 60 yards.

  • If Warren runs for 60 or more yards: Return of $162.11 on your $100.
  • If he finishes below 60 yards: You lose the full $100.

That is roughly a 1.6x return on the $100 stake.

Best Receiving Prop Today: Tee Higgins 70+ Receiving Yards

🏈 Pick🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade on Kalshi
Tee Higgins 70+ Receiving YardsYes | 59%$168.22Trade Now!

Tee Higgins is fifth in the NFL at 94.8 receiving yards per game, with 758 yards on 48 catches and six touchdowns through eight games.

He went for 90 yards and a touchdown on six catches in the first meeting with Pittsburgh. Cincinnati also funnels targets to its top two receivers, with Chase or Higgins drawing 48.5% of Burrow’s passes.

Variance is the risk, since Higgins caught five passes for just 32 yards in Madrid even while scoring twice. But with Burrow averaging 303.7 passing yards per game during the four-game winning streak, 70 yards is a number Higgins can clear on volume alone.

Kalshi’s board shows Yes at 56¢, but a $100 buy fills at an average of 59%, so that is the price we use in the table. Buying Yes gets you roughly 168 contracts, and each one pays $1 if Higgins reaches 70 receiving yards.

  • If Higgins reaches 70 or more receiving yards: Return of $168.22 on your $100.
  • If he finishes below 70 yards: You lose the full $100.

That is roughly a 1.7x return on the $100 stake.

Best QB Passing Prop Today: Joe Burrow Under 300 Passing Yards

🏈 Pick🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade on Kalshi
Joe Burrow Under 300 Passing YardsNo | 56%$179.40Trade Now!

Joe Burrow averages 298.3 passing yards per game, so 300 sits right on his mean. He finished below that mark in both the Week 3 game against Pittsburgh (282 yards) and last week in Madrid (271 yards).

Pittsburgh has allowed just 5.8 passing yards per play, ninth-fewest in the NFL, and it gives up an explosive play on only 10.4% of its defensive snaps, tied for the third-lowest rate in the league.

The Steelers have also sacked Burrow 24 times in eight meetings, and T.J. Watt ranks among the NFL’s top five with 7.5 sacks. Burrow’s touchdown volume (16 touchdown passes over his last four games) does not require 300 yards to keep coming.

Kalshi’s board shows No at 54¢, but a $100 buy fills at an average of 56%, so that is the price I use in the table. Buying No on the 300+ contract gets you roughly 179 contracts, and each one pays $1 if Burrow finishes with 299 passing yards or fewer.

  • If Burrow throws for 299 or fewer yards: Return of $179.40 on your $100.
  • If he throws for 300 or more: You lose the full $100.

That is roughly a 1.8x return on the $100 stake.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today: Chase Brown Anytime Touchdown

🏈 Pick🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade on Kalshi
Chase Brown Anytime TDYes | 50%$201Trade Now!

Chase Brown has just one rushing touchdown this season and was averaging 47.5 rushing yards per game through Week 8, so this is the thinnest scoring track record on my card.

The case is Cincinnati’s scoring environment. The Bengals have turned 22 of 32 red zone trips into touchdowns, they have scored at least 30 points in four straight wins. Brown stays involved as a receiver, with eight catches in the win over Tennessee.

The matchup is a real hurdle, since Pittsburgh allows 3.6 yards per carry, tied for fourth-fewest in the NFL. The Bengals appear to be losing faith in Brown’s rushing attempts. That is why the market prices him close to a coin flip.

Kalshi’s board shows Yes at 48¢, but a $100 buy fills at an average of 50%, so that is the price we use in the table. Buying Yes gets you roughly 201 contracts, and each one pays $1 if Brown scores a touchdown.

  • If Brown scores a touchdown: Return of $201 on your $100.
  • If he does not score: You lose the full $100.

That is roughly a 2x return on the $100 stake.

Updated on 11/14/26

Kalshi
Trade $25, Get $55!
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/55. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today: Tee Higgins Anytime Touchdown

🏈 Pick🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade on Kalshi
Tee Higgins Anytime TDYes | 47%$210.70Trade Now!

Tee Higgins has caught five touchdowns during the Bengals’ four-game winning streak, has six receiving scores on the season, and found the end zone against Pittsburgh in Week 3.

He has two receiving touchdowns in each of his past two games. Cincinnati has just three rushing touchdowns over the last four games. Two of them belong to Burrow, so the receivers are collecting nearly every score.

Ja’Marr Chase is the favorite on the board, and he has scored in four straight games. Higgins offers a bigger payout for similar usage.

Kalshi’s board shows Yes at 44¢, but a $100 buy fills at an average of 47%, so that is the price I use in the table. Buying Yes gets you roughly 211 contracts, and each one pays $1 if Higgins scores a touchdown.

  • If Higgins scores a touchdown: Return of $210.70 on your $100.
  • If he does not score: You lose the full $100.

That is roughly a 2.1x return on the $100 stake.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today: DK Metcalf Anytime Touchdown

🏈 Pick🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade on Kalshi
DK Metcalf Anytime TDYes | 36%$281.11Trade Now!

DK Metcalf leads Pittsburgh with 33 catches on 65 targets. But he has only one touchdown this season, and it came against these Bengals in Week 3.

That makes this a matchup play. Pittsburgh scored 30 points on Cincinnati in the first meeting, with Rodgers throwing three touchdowns, so the Steelers know this defense can be attacked through the air.

The risk is competition for targets. Michael Pittman Jr. may return, rookie Germie Bernard has 32 catches, and Rodgers completed passes to nine different players in Week 3. At 36%, the price already reflects that crowded target tree.

Kalshi’s board shows Yes at 34¢, but a $100 buy fills at an average of 36%, so that is the price I use in the table. Buying Yes gets you roughly 281 contracts, and each one pays $1 if Metcalf scores a touchdown.

  • If Metcalf scores a touchdown: Return of $281.11 on your $100.
  • If he does not score: You lose the full $100.

That is roughly a 2.8x return on the $100 stake.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today: Pat Freiermuth Anytime Touchdown

🏈 Pick🏷️ Position | Price🤑 Return on $100📈 Trade on Kalshi
Pat Freiermuth Anytime TDYes | 25%$395.58Trade Now!

Pat Freiermuth has been Aaron Rodgers’ go-to red zone target, with four receiving touchdowns in Pittsburgh’s first five games, including two against Indianapolis in Week 5.

He also scored on a one-yard run in the Week 8 win over Cleveland, which shows Pittsburgh will use him near the goal line in more than one way.

The price is long because the volume is not reliable. Freiermuth had two catches for 30 yards in the first meeting with Cincinnati, and Darnell Washington shares the tight end work near the goal line. At 25%, though, one red zone target can pay off the ticket.

Kalshi’s board shows Yes at 24¢, but a $100 buy fills at an average of 25%, so that is the price I use in the table. Buying Yes gets you roughly 396 contracts, and each one pays $1 if Freiermuth scores a touchdown.

  • If Freiermuth scores a touchdown: Return of $395.58 on your $100.
  • If he does not score: You lose the full $100.

That is just under a 4x return on the $100 stake.

Steelers vs. Bengals Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Four of my trades above come from Kalshi’s Anytime Touchdown board, and here is the full board for the Steelers vs. Bengals player props. Passing touchdowns are excluded, so quarterbacks only count if they score on the ground. These are the board’s Yes prices, which sit slightly below the average my $100 tickets filled at. They make for a quick read on every anytime touchdown scorer prediction in this game.

Bengals Anytime Touchdown Scorer Odds

  • Chase Brown (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 48%): My pick above. He has one rushing touchdown all year. But Cincinnati’s red zone efficiency and his receiving role keep him near a coin flip.
  • Joe Burrow (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 14%): A quarterback only cashes here on the ground, and Burrow has run for a score recently. He has two of Cincinnati’s three rushing touchdowns over the past four games.
  • Ja’Marr Chase (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 53%): The board favorite. Chase has scored in four straight games and six of his past seven. He has six touchdowns in six career games against Pittsburgh with Burrow.
  • Jack Endries (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 8%): A seventh-round rookie tight end in a thinned-out room after injuries to Tanner Hudson and Erick All Jr., though a touchdown is still a long shot.
  • Mike Gesicki (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 28%): Gesicki has at least six receiving touchdowns through eight games. He joins Chase and Higgins in a historic trio, so 28% looks modest for that production.
  • Tee Higgins (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 44%): My pick above. He has two touchdowns in each of his last two games and scored on Pittsburgh in Week 3.
  • Dohnte Meyers (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 16%): A former CFL receiver who earned a roster spot in camp, Meyers is a depth option behind Chase and Higgins. A touchdown leans on Cincinnati’s scoring volume instead of a set role.
  • Samaje Perine (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 28%): Offensive coordinator Dan Pitcher has said the weekly game plan determines how Perine and Brown split carries. This keeps Perine in the touchdown mix.
  • Drew Sample (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 10%): A veteran tight end in the same thinned-out room, Sample is a long shot, but the position has been short on healthy bodies.
  • Bengals D/ST (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 13%): Cincinnati pressures opposing quarterbacks on 36.4% of dropbacks, the 12th-highest rate in the NFL. This gives the defense a path to a short field or a score.

Steelers Anytime Touchdown Scorer Odds

  • Germie Bernard (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 25%): The rookie has 32 catches, second on the team behind Metcalf. He scored his first NFL touchdown back in Week 6.
  • Rico Dowdle (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 34%): Back from injury, Dowdle scored on 15 carries in the Week 8 win over Cleveland and gives Pittsburgh a second runner near the goal line next to Warren.
  • Pat Freiermuth (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 24%): My pick above. He has four receiving touchdowns through five games plus a one-yard rushing score in Week 8.
  • DK Metcalf (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 34%): My pick above. His only touchdown this season came against Cincinnati in Week 3.
  • Aaron Rodgers (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 6%): Passing touchdowns do not count in this market. Rodgers only cashes on a rushing score, which explains the price.
  • Brandon Smith (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 7%): A depth wideout who was elevated from the practice squad in Week 6, Smith could slide further down the target order if Michael Pittman Jr. returns.
  • Jaylen Warren (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 47%): The Steelers’ top price. Warren leads the NFL at 5.92 yards per carry and ran for 127 yards on Cincinnati in Week 3. The Bengals allow an NFL-high 5.04 yards per carry.
  • Darnell Washington (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 27%): One of Rodgers’ preferred red zone targets, Washington has scored twice in a two-game stretch and led Pittsburgh with 67 receiving yards in Week 3.
  • Steelers D/ST (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 11%): T.J. Watt has 7.5 sacks, and Derrick Harmon’s strip-sack of Burrow sealed the Week 3 win, so Pittsburgh’s defense can always manufacture a short field or a score.

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What’s Moving the Market

Movement on Kalshi’s Anytime Touchdown board has been small but telling. Rico Dowdle is down four points to 31%, Jaylen Warren and DK Metcalf each slipped two points, and most Steelers skill players drifted lower, while Ja’Marr Chase and Mike Gesicki each ticked up a point.

That fits the broader market. The Bengals are 3.5-point home favorites, and the game opened with a total of 48.5 at DraftKings. This points to a script where Cincinnati scores freely and Pittsburgh has to keep pace. That script favors the passing props among the best NFL player props on this card.

Thursday’s practice reports list no limited skill-position players on either side, with Darnell Washington back to full participation after a rest day. The biggest swing factor for these SNF best bets is whether Michael Pittman Jr. returns. His target share could reshape Pittsburgh’s prices before kickoff.

How to Trade These Steelers vs. Bengals Player Props on Kalshi

Ready to get in on these Steelers vs. Bengals player props? Here’s exactly how to claim the bonus and start trading:

  • Monitor the relevant tab on Kalshi to stay ahead of the live order book movements.
  • When you’re ready, sign up with Kalshi promo code LABS55 to get started!

Updated on 11/14/26

Kalshi
Trade $25, Get $55!
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/55. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.

📝 KALSHI TERMS & CONDITIONS Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/55. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.

Final Thoughts on My Steelers vs. Bengals Prediction

My Steelers vs. Bengals player props lean on Cincinnati’s high-powered passing game, Pittsburgh’s rushing edge, and a handful of touchdown prices that reward patience. If you want the best NFL prop bets today for Sunday night, this card gives you a mix of safer yardage trades and bigger-payout touchdown swings.

Burrow’s touchdown volume and Warren’s matchup anchor the safer end, while Metcalf and Freiermuth bring the largest returns. Together, they make a balanced set of SNF best bets for an AFC North game with first place on the line.

Check the final injury reports before kickoff, and size each trade knowing a full loss is possible on every one.

FAQs

What are the best Steelers vs. Bengals player props for Sunday Night Football?

My card of Steelers vs. Bengals player props includes Joe Burrow 2+ passing touchdowns, Ja’Marr Chase under 9 receptions, Aaron Rodgers 225+ passing yards, Jaylen Warren 60+ rushing yards, Tee Higgins 70+ receiving yards, Burrow under 300 passing yards, and four anytime touchdown picks in Chase Brown, Higgins, DK Metcalf and Pat Freiermuth.

What are the best NFL prop bets today on Kalshi for Steelers vs. Bengals?

The best NFL prop bets today on Kalshi for this game are the ones backed by the strongest matchup data. These are led by Burrow’s touchdown volume against Pittsburgh and Warren’s rushing matchup against the NFL’s worst yards-per-carry defense. Every price in the article comes from a Kalshi buy ticket.

What are the best anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Steelers vs. Bengals?

The best anytime touchdown scorer predictions blend usage and price. Higgins has scored in back-to-back games, Metcalf scored on Cincinnati in Week 3, and Freiermuth has been Rodgers’ main red zone target, while Chase is the board favorite.

Which SNF best bets stand out in Steelers vs. Bengals?

The SNF best bets that stand out are Burrow’s two-touchdown prop and Warren’s rushing yards. Both are tied to clear weaknesses and strengths in this matchup. The first meeting finished 30-27 in Pittsburgh’s favor, so both offenses have a track record against each other.

What is the Steelers vs. Bengals prediction?

My Steelers vs. Bengals prediction centers on player props rather than a side. Cincinnati is a 3.5-point home favorite. Both teams are 6-2 with four-game winning streaks. So the Steelers vs. Bengals player props give more direct value than the point spread.

What are the best NFL player props for Week 10?

The best NFL player props for Week 10 in this game come from the matchup between Cincinnati’s passing game and Pittsburgh’s rushing attack. Burrow and Higgins drive the Bengals’ side, while Warren and Rodgers anchor Pittsburgh’s props.

How do I use the Kalshi promo code for Steelers vs. Bengals?

Create a Kalshi account through the link in this article, complete the qualifying steps shown in the offer box, and enter the promo code displayed there. Then you can trade any of the Steelers vs. Bengals player props on Kalshi.

Where can I watch Steelers vs. Bengals on Sunday Night Football?

Steelers vs. Bengals airs on NBC and streams on Peacock on Sunday, Nov. 15, from Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati.