I’m here to share a few of my top picks for the Week 14 NFL slate on Underdog. Most of these predictions are heavily based on our projections.
Be mindful of the fact that these are what we deem to be optimal picks at the time of publish. Just like with any sport, the news cycle in the NFL is fluid, so the picks below may become more or less appealing depending on a variety of factors. But rest assured that our NFL DFS projections team is constantly making updates.
Below, I’ll detail how I’m approaching things on Underdog for Week 14.
First… Sign Up to Make NFL Underdog Picks
If you’re interested in joining the action but haven’t signed up yet, you can claim a special offer with our Underdog promo code “LABS” to unlock a generous bonus. Underdog is one of the better-known, most popular DFS pick’em sites. Each week, they offer player projections for NFL matchups. Our task is to decide whether a player will go higher or lower than those projected stats in their game. With a large pool of players available, you only need to select at least two picks to submit an entry.
I’ll be using our projections to find meaningful edges on how NFL players might fare in different stat categories. For additional insight as you make your NFL Underdog picks today, check out our fantasy pick’em tool, where you’ll find all of our picks for a variety of sites.

Underdog NFL Picks for Week 14
Now that you’re signed up, here are some of our top NFL picks on Underdog for Week 14:
- Patrick Mahomes higher than 22.5 Completions
- Isiah Pacheco lower than 39.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
- Tua Tagovailoa higher than 19.5 Completions
Texans vs. Chiefs NFL Underdog Predictions
Patrick Mahomes higher than 22.5 Completions
The completions projection for Patrick Mahomes looks like a strong pick based on the current data. The Underdog projection of 22.5 compares favorably based on our NFL simulations. This pick projects to hit 60.7% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 5.1% edge.
Isiah Pacheco lower than 39.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
The rushing + receiving yards projection for Isiah Pacheco looks like a strong pick based on the current data. The Underdog projection of 39.5 compares favorably based on our NFL simulations. This pick projects to hit 62.0% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 4.2% edge.
Dolphins vs. Jets NFL Underdog Predictions
Tua Tagovailoa higher than 19.5 Completions
The completions projection for Tua Tagovailoa looks like a strong pick based on the current data. The Underdog projection of 19.5 compares favorably based on our NFL simulations. This pick projects to hit 69.2% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 4.2% edge.
Pictured: Patrick Mahomes
Photo Credit: Imagn

