I’m here to share a few of my top picks for the Week 11 NFL slate on Underdog. Most of these predictions are heavily based on our projections.
Be mindful of the fact that these are what we deem to be optimal picks at the time of publish. Just like with any sport, the news cycle in the NFL is fluid, so the picks below may become more or less appealing depending on a variety of factors. But rest assured that our NFL DFS projections team is constantly making updates.
Below, I’ll detail how I’m approaching things on Underdog for Week 11.
First… Sign Up to Make NFL Underdog Picks
If you’re interested in joining the action but haven’t signed up yet, you can claim a special offer with our Underdog promo code “LABS” to unlock a generous bonus. Underdog is one of the better-known, most popular DFS pick’em sites. Each week, they offer player projections for NFL matchups. Our task is to decide whether a player will go higher or lower than those projected stats in their game. With a large pool of players available, you only need to select at least two picks to submit an entry.
I’ll be using our projections to find meaningful edges on how NFL players might fare in different stat categories. For additional insight as you make your NFL Underdog picks today, check out our fantasy pick’em tool, where you’ll find all of our picks for a variety of sites.

Underdog NFL Picks for Week 11
Now that you’re signed up, here are some of our top NFL picks on Underdog for Week 11:
- T.J. Hockenson lower than 2.5 Receptions
- Jaylen Warren lower than 3.5 Receptions
- Saquon Barkley lower than 18.5 Receiving Yards
Bears vs. Vikings NFL Underdog Predictions
T.J. Hockenson lower than 2.5 Receptions
The receptions projection for T.J. Hockenson looks like a strong pick based on the current data. The Underdog projection of 2.5 compares favorably based on our NFL simulations. This pick projects to hit 62.1% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 7.5% edge.
Bengals vs. Steelers NFL Underdog Predictions
Jaylen Warren lower than 3.5 Receptions
The receptions projection for Jaylen Warren looks like a strong pick based on the current data. The Underdog projection of 3.5 compares favorably based on our NFL simulations. This pick projects to hit 75.7% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 6.9% edge.
Lions vs. Eagles NFL Underdog Predictions
Saquon Barkley lower than 18.5 Receiving Yards
The receiving yards projection for Saquon Barkley looks like a strong pick based on the current data. The Underdog projection of 18.5 compares favorably based on our NFL simulations. This pick projects to hit 63.2% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 5.4% edge.
Pictured: Saquon Barkley
Photo Credit: Imagn

