This piece will identify some of my favorite NFL DFS stacks of the weekend. Be sure to use our Stacking Tool within our Player Models to find the highest projected stacks, the stacks that figure to be chalky, and more. Our Correlation Dashboard is also an excellent resource for finding hidden edges in stacking positions and games.
You can also plug these stacks into our Lineup Builder to hand-build the rest of it, or you can optimize it with our projections. And if you like to create multiple lineups, our Lineup Optimizer allows you to effortlessly create up to 300 lineups.
The Lineup Optimizer has endless customization opportunities.
Oh yeah! And our SimLabs Lineup Generator gives you the ability to create advanced DFS lineups using the power of simulation.
You can check out our in-depth SimLabs guide here.
Week 3 NFL DFS Stacks and Picks
Caleb Williams + DJ Moore + Rome Odunze + CeeDee Lamb
- Caleb Williams ($5,600 DraftKings, $7,100 FanDuel)
- DJ Moore ($5,400 DraftKings, $6,300 FanDuel)
- Rome Odunze ($5,300 DraftKings, $6,400 FanDuel)
- CeeDee Lamb ($8,000 DraftKings, $8,800 FanDuel)
The only game with a total north of 50 points this week is the Chicago Bears hosting the Dallas Cowboys. The Bears and Cowboys rank 29th and 30th, respectively, in EPA per play on defense. Collectively, they are allowing 70 points and nearly 800 yards per game. It is impossible when researching this slate not to target this matchup, either in a game stack or mini correlation. Expect a flurry of points!
The Bears are 1.5-point home underdogs after losing back-to-back divisional games to the Vikings and Lions. The Ben Johnson experience is off to a relatively slow start, averaging 22.5 points per game, but this is still an offense worth targeting in DFS contests, especially in this matchup against the Cowboys.
Bears’ quarterback Caleb Williams leads the slate by a wide margin in optimal lineup rate in Sim Labs at 16.6%. The next closest is Carson Wentz at 10.6%. Williams is a dual-threat quarterback with four total touchdowns to one interception. He has a 10% scramble rate, which goes to show this offensive line is a work in progress. However, at his relatively cheap price tag, Williams is worth a shot in tournaments.
Normally, a skinny stack with Williams is the preferred route to utilize his rushing ability for his optimal ceiling. However, wide receivers DJ Moore and Rome Odunze are favorably priced and are the clear top two pass catchers for Williams. Priced in the mid-range, both Moore and Odunze are above 15% in the optimal lineup rate, ranking fourth and seventh, respectively, at the wide receiver position.
Odunze has been Williams’ number one option. He has a 29% target share, 22% target per route run and an incredible 37% target share on the money downs (third and fourth down). Odunze has a touchdown reception in both games, including two last week against the Lions, where he hauled in seven receptions for 128 yards.
With Odunze’s breakout, it has been a slow start for Moore. In comparison, Moore has a 17% target share, 14% target per route run and has only been targeted 5% on third and fourth down. However, Moore can be used in a Deebo Samuel-like role, getting the ball in his hands quickly, whether that is screen passes or even hand-offs from Williams. There is a clear ceiling, especially at his cheap price tag.
The ideal bring back in this Bears’ stack is Cowboys’ superstar CeeDee Lamb. He has yet to find the end zone, but Lamb is still averaging 22.1 DraftKings points per game. Lamb ranks second in the league with 222 receiving yards and has eclipsed 100 yards in back-to-back games. He leads the wide receiver position with a 22.7% optimal rate and will take on a Bears’ secondary that just allowed a combined 223 receiving yards and four touchdowns to Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jameson Williams.
This Bears and Cowboys game stack will be popular, but it has the highest total on the slate by nearly five full points. Load up on this NFC shootout.
Don’t forget to check out our SimLabs Lineup Generator to create advanced DFS lineups using the power of simulation:
Carson Wentz + Justin Jefferson + Jordan Mason + Ja’Marr Chase
- Carson Wentz ($4,000 DraftKings, $6,000 FanDuel)
- Justin Jefferson ($7,500 DraftKings, $8,900 FanDuel)
- Jordan Mason ($5,400 DraftKings, $5,800 FanDuel)
- Ja’Marr Chase ($8,100 DraftKings, $9,600 FanDuel)
Injuries equal opportunities, and that is what we have with this Vikings and Bengals matchup at US Bank. JJ McCarthy and Joe Burrow are both out for the foreseeable future, which means Carson Wentz and Jake Browning will draw the starts this week.
Wentz is the biggest beneficiary at the quarterback position as a min-priced player on both DraftKings and FanDuel. He is a near lock in cash games and leads the slate at the quarterback position with the highest projected Plus/Minus. Wentz also has upside with a rushing floor and has reportedly looked “phenomenal” at practice. This is a better spot than it was for 49ers backup quarterback Mac Jones, who had a great last week at the same price point.
Not only is Wentz going to be a popular value option, but welcome to Jordan Mason chalk-week. Aaron Jones went on IR for a hamstring injury, but Mason was already starting to take his role, especially on the ground. Through the first two weeks, Mason had 60% of the rushing attempts and caught three of his four receptions. Receiving has never been his strong suit, but the Vikings may have to make Mason a true bell-cow this week.
Pairing Wentz with Mason costs a paltry $9,400 on DraftKings and $11,800 on FanDuel, allowing an endless amount of salary to be spent at every other position. The Bengals’ defense ranked 27th in EPA per play last season and has barely improved this season. Wentz and Mason can take full advantage of this matchup, and it will not break the bank to do so.
Justin Jefferson has a 34% target share through the first two weeks, but not a lot of fantasy production to show for it due to McCarthy’s early struggles. He has seven receptions for 125 yards and one touchdown. Normally, that is an average Sunday for Jefferson, not a two-game sample size.
Getting Jefferson at a discount in salary and potential ownership is a dream spot. This is also the last game for Jefferson without Jordan Addison, who will draw away targets when he returns. There is a chance that Wentz is simply better than McCarthy at this point and will heavily target one of the game’s best wide receivers.
Pairing the top two wide receivers together becomes easy when rostering Wentz and Mason. Ja’Marr Chase was peppered with targets after Browning entered the game last week. The star wideout caught 14 of his 16 targets for 165 yards and one touchdown. Chase is the most expensive option on the slate, but is impossible to ignore with his projected target share.
Both Jefferson and Chase are projected for around 10% ownership across the industry. Even though this game’s total is only 42.5 points, 59% of the bets are coming in on the Over. The number of injuries on the Vikings’ defense will open things up for Chase to have another big game. Give me the Over and a plethora of fantasy points in this dome matchup with so much talent on both offenses.
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Pictured: Justin Jefferson
Photo Credit: Matt Marton-Imagn Images
