This piece will identify some of my favorite NFL DFS stacks of the weekend. Be sure to use our Stacking Tool within our Player Models to find the highest projected stacks, the stacks that figure to be chalky, and more. Our Correlation Dashboard is also an excellent resource for finding hidden edges in stacking positions and games.
You can also plug these stacks into our Lineup Builder to hand-build the rest of it, or you can optimize it with our projections. And if you like to create multiple lineups, our Lineup Optimizer allows you to effortlessly create up to 300 lineups.
The Lineup Optimizer has endless customization opportunities.
Oh yeah! And our SimLabs Lineup Generator gives you the ability to create advanced DFS lineups using the power of simulation.
You can check out our in-depth SimLabs guide here.
Week 15 NFL DFS Stacks and Picks
Lamar Jackson + Zay Flowers + Dalton Kincaid + Ja’Marr Chase
- Lamar Jackson ($6,400 DraftKings, $8,200 FanDuel)
- Zay Flowers ($6,300 DraftKings, $7,300 FanDuel)
- Isaiah Likely ($3,400 DraftKings, $5,200 FanDuel)
- Ja’Marr Chase ($8,100 DraftKings, $9,200 FanDuel)
The NFL byes have come and gone, making this Sunday a large 13-game main slate. One of the best games to target this week is an AFC North divisional battle between the Baltimore Ravens and Cincinnati Bengals. The Ravens are 2.5-point road favorites, implied for 27 points, which is one of the highest totals on the slate. The temperature will be in the teens, but this total is still extremely high at 51.5 points.
The Bengals are basically eliminated from playoff contention, but the Ravens are just one game back of the Steelers for the AFC North crown. Despite losing back-to-back games to both teams, the Ravens are the best team to target in this showdown. The Bengals defense continues to rank dead last in EPA per play allowing a league-high 410.5 yards per game and 31.8 points per game.
Lamar Jackson is coming off his best game since Week 9. He threw for 219 yards and one touchdown while rushing for 43 yards and his first rushing touchdown since Week 1, accumulating 22.1 DraftKings points. Jackson will now get a prime matchup against a poor Bengals defense. He threw for 256 yards in their meeting two weeks ago but failed to capture any touchdowns. Time to go right back to the well.
Due to his recent play, Jackson’s salary has depleted to a season low. Among quarterbacks, Jackson ranks second on this 13-game slate in both projected Plus/Minus and projected ownership, nearing 10%. He provides value and ceiling at this enticing price point. It has been a disappointing season through 13 weeks, but the matchup is elite, and this is a must-win game. Now is the best time to bet on Jackson.
It was only a matter of time until Zay Flowers broke through. Flowers, who has a team-high 29% target share, had his best game since Week 1 last week, hauling in eight receptions for 124 yards. He has still yet to hit paydirt since Week 1, but Flowers has recorded double-digit DraftKings points in six of his last seven games since their bye week. Flowers is consistent and worth targeting in this matchup.
Flowers has easily become Jackson’s top target. He leads the Ravens by a wide margin in receptions, targets, and receiving yards while being on track for his second straight 1,000-receiving-yard season. Flowers had a 20% endzone target share last week. Touchdown regression for him has to be coming soon. His last game against the Bengals secondary was a disaster, but we’re running it back this week.
Both Mark Andrews and Isaiah Likely are great tight end options this week against a Bengals defense that has allowed a league-high 24.1 fantasy points per game to the position, which is nearly eight points more than the second-highest team. Andrews popped up on the injury report with a glute injury on Thursday. Keep an eye on his status because that would make Likely an even better option this week.
Likely is $500 cheaper than Andrews this week and has had back-to-back better games. In his last two games, Likely has captured a combined nine receptions for 120 yards and one touchdown for 26 DraftKings points. He has been a non-factor most of the year but is showing up when it matters most. Adding Likely to this Ravens team stack will save salary to allow for other studs to enter the lineup.
Bengals wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase is due for another ceiling performance. He has yet to score a touchdown since Week 7 but did catch seven of his 14 targets for 110 yards in this matchup two weeks ago. Tee Higgins has stolen all the touchdowns recently but is once again in the concussion protocol. He is another player to monitor throughout the week, and it would not be shocking if he did not play.
Chase leads the slate with the highest optimal lineup rate at 29.4% in our NFL Sims. There are several expensive wide receivers worth paying up for on this slate, but Chase leads his peers in projected points. The Ravens defense is well below average and has allowed 59 points in their last two games, including 32 against the Bengals. If Higgins were to miss, this is a smash spot for a bounceback Chase game.
55% of the bets are coming in on the over 51.5 points on the DraftKings sportsbook. Expect a shootout in this pivotal AFC North divisional matchup while prioritizing a Ravens stack.
Don’t forget to check out our SimLabs Lineup Generator to create advanced DFS lineups using the power of simulation:
Jaxson Dart + Wan’Dale Robinson + Theo Johnson + Terry McLaurin
- Jaxson Dart ($5,600 DraftKings, $7,600 FanDuel)
- Wan’Dale Robinson ($5,900 DraftKings, $5,800 FanDuel)
- Theo Johnson ($3,500 DraftKings, $5,200 FanDuel)
- Terry McLaurin ($5,400 DraftKings, $7,100 FanDuel)
Another divisional game to get exposure to this week is an NFC East matchup between the New York Giants and Washington Commanders. The Giants are 2.5-point home favorites looking to match the Commanders in the win column. This game has a respectable 46.5-point total, with both defenses ranking 30th and 31st in the league in EPA per play. Both offenses should have plenty of success in this game.
After missing the previous two weeks, Jaxson Dart returned last week with his worst game since being named the Giants’ starting quarterback. It was a difficult matchup against a Patriots’ defense that is allowing only 18.5 points per game. This week should be a friendly spot for Dart against a Commanders’ secondary that is allowing 246.9 passing yards per game, which is the third-highest in the league.
At his cheap price tag across the industry, Dart is currently third in optimal lineup rate at the quarterback position this week. Since taking over the starting spot from Russell Wilson, Dart has been one of the best dual-threat quarterbacks in the league. He is averaging 236.6 total yards with 11 passing touchdowns, seven rushing touchdowns, and only three interceptions for 22.4 DraftKings points per game.
Since Malik Nabers went down in Week 4, Wan’Dale Robinson has been the Giants’ leading receiver with a 30% target share. Over the last five weeks, Robinson has averaged seven receptions on 10.6 targets for 66.8 receiving yards per game. He has recorded double-digit DraftKings points in all but one game during that time. He is $100 cheaper on FanDuel, which is rare and making him an elite value option there.
Robinson ranks just outside the top five in optimal lineup rate at the wide receiver position this week. The Commanders’ secondary has been one to attack this season, especially recently. They have lost eight consecutive games while allowing 31.6 points per game during that time. Robinson is the best wide receiver to take advantage of this matchup, especially with such a massive target share in this offense.
Giants’ tight end Theo Johnson has held a 20% target share since Nabers’ injury. He had a season-high 33% target share last game but only hauled in three receptions for 29 yards. Johnson’s salary has dipped recently, making him one of the better value plays on the slate. He has the second-highest optimal lineup rate in our NFL Sims for the tight end position this week at 19.4%.
The Commanders have been susceptible to the tight end position, allowing 15.8 fantasy points per game. Johnson’s aDOT over the last two weeks has been 15.6, which boosts his ceiling. He is another strong pairing partner with Dart and Robinson and is simply too cheap for his projected output.
Commanders’ quarterback Jayden Daniels may be done for the season with the team sitting with a 3-10 record and already being eliminated from the postseason. This comes after a 31-0 loss on the road against the Vikings. The bringback for this Giant’s stack is wide receiver Terry McLaurin. He struggled last week but caught seven receptions on 14 targets for 96 yards and a touchdown two weeks ago with Marcus Mariota at quarterback. Mariota will be the starting quarterback for this Week 15 matchup.
A ceiling performance is on the table for McLaurin, who has a 29% target share since returning from injury. The Giants are yielding the third-most fantasy points per game to wide receivers this season and rank 30th in EPA per play on defense. McLaurin seems underpriced on DraftKings this week at $5,400.
This game stack is cheap and allows the availability to fill the rest of a lineup with high-priced studs. However, there is plenty of ceiling upside with Dart and his pass catchers with a top wide receiver on the bringback. Both defenses have been exploitable, and this week should be no different.
Pictured: Wan’Dale Robinson
Photo Credit: Imagn
