This piece will identify some of my favorite NFL DFS stacks of the weekend. Be sure to use our Stacking Tool within our Player Models to find the highest projected stacks, the stacks that figure to be chalky, and more. Our Correlation Dashboard is also an excellent resource for finding hidden edges in stacking positions and games.
You can also pl ug these stacks into our Lineup Builder to hand-build the rest of it, or you can optimize it with our projections. And if you like to create multiple lineups, our Lineup Optimizer allows you to effortlessly create up to 300 lineups.
The Lineup Optimizer has endless customization opportunities.
Oh yeah! And our SimLabs Lineup Generator gives you the ability to create advanced DFS lineups using the power of simulation.
You can check out our in-depth SimLabs guide here.
Week 10 NFL DFS Stacks and Picks
Josh Allen + James Cook + Khalil Shakir + De’Von Achane
- Josh Allen ($7,000 DraftKings, $9,200 FanDuel)
- James Cook ($7,500 DraftKings, $9,200 FanDuel)
- Khalil Shakir ($5,100 DraftKings, $6,100 FanDuel)
- De’Von Achane ($7,400 DraftKings, $8,500 FanDuel)
Leading the slate by a wide margin in implied team total this week are the Buffalo Bills. They are 9.5-point road favorites against their division rival Miami Dolphins with a 30-point team total. This matchup also has a 50-point game total, making it easily the best game environment to target.
It is rare to find better a quarterback play than Josh Allen is this week. He has a 20.8% optimal lineup rate in our NFL Sims, which is double that of the next closest quarterback. His projected ownership is following suit, but Allen is simply impossible to ignore in this spot. For his career, Allen is averaging a combined three passing and rushing touchdowns and 28.7 DraftKings points per game against the Dolphins.
The Dolphins have a 2-7 record and rank 28th in defense EPA per play. They are allowing 27 points per game, and the Bills beat them at home earlier this season, 31-21. Allen had a stress-free game, completing 22 of his 28 passes for three touchdowns and his highest passer rating of the season at 134.1.
Second in the league in rushing behind Jonathan Taylor is Bills’ running back James Cook. This has been Cook’s best season of his career. He has recorded 330 rushing yards in his last two games and has five games with 100+ rushing yards, including his earlier matchup against the Dolphins.
The best way to attack the Dolphins defense is on the ground. They are allowing 145.6 rushing yards per game, which is the third-highest in the league. Cook is currently questionable after not practicing Wednesday and recording a limited practice Thursday. Similar to D’Andre Swift last week. If Cook is out, plug and play backup running back Ray Davis would become one of the best values on the slate.
For some reason, the Bills continue to not add any help for Allen. The trade deadline came and went for the Bills, who yet again did not add a wide receiver. It will be the Khalil Shakir show once again. In his last two games after the Week 7 bye, Shakir has averaged a 31% target share and 38% target per route run. That is nearly triple the next wide receiver, Keon Coleman.
Shakir continues to be favorably priced at $5,100 on DraftKings, where he has the fourth-highest optimal lineup rate at the wide receiver position at 23%. He has caught 13 of his 15 targets over the last two weeks for 131 total receiving yards and one touchdown. Shakir is Allen’s security blanket and always seems to be in the right spot at the right time on Allen’s several scramble plays.
The Dolphins only have two players worth targeting when looking at a bringback option. Running back De’Von Achane and wide receiver Jaylen Waddle. This is an easy decision when diving into the numbers. The Bills are an extreme run-funnel defense, allowing a 43.7% rushing success rate. They are allowing the second-fewest passing yards per game and the fifth-most rushing yards. Not only will Achane get around 70% of the running back carries, but he also has the highest target share on the team at 22%.
Achane has recorded at least 16 DraftKings points in eight of his nine games played this season. In a playing-from-behind projected game script, expect many Achane dump-offs and designed quick passes. It helps that Achane also has the highest optimal lineup rate on the slate at 38.1%.
In a projected high-scoring affair, this game features plenty of ceiling potential, but both offenses are concentrated, which is perfect for fantasy. This is an expensive game stack, but if Cook is out, it becomes very affordable with a cheap Ray Davis. Either way, expect a ton of points at Hard Rock Stadium in Week 10.
Don’t forget to check out our SimLabs Lineup Generator to create advanced DFS lineups using the power of simulation:
JJ McCarthy + Justin Jefferson + Jordan Addison + Zay Flowers
- JJ McCarthy ($4,900 DraftKings, $7,100 FanDuel)
- Justin Jefferson ($7,900 DraftKings, $9,000 FanDuel)
- Jordan Addison ($5,400 DraftKings, $7,400 FanDuel)
- Zay Flowers ($5,900 DraftKings, $7,100 FanDuel)
Both the Minnesota Vikings and Baltimore Ravens are getting healthier and playing a desperate style of football to try and get back into the playoff picture and their division race. Playing in the dome, the Ravens are 3.5-point road favorites, but it is the Vikings where the best value seems to be. This game features a 49-point total, which is the third-highest on the slate.
Quarterback JJ McCarthy is still a work in progress, but he has displayed upside and is egregiously priced at $4,900 on DraftKings. FanDuel is a completely different story at $7,100 and would make me lean toward taking Lamar Jackson and the Ravens stack. McCarthy could very well be the cash-game quarterback this week and get his ownership steamed in tournaments.
However, on McCarthy’s side is a strong matchup against a Ravens secondary that has struggled for most of the season. They are allowing 250.1 passing yards per game, which is the fifth-highest in the league. In his first game back from injury, McCarthy led the Vikings to a huge divisional road victory over the Lions last week, recording three total touchdowns and 19.9 DraftKings points. That is more than enough to pay off his incredibly cheap DraftKings salary.
McCarthy has rushing upside but can also get into a rhythm throwing the ball if the Vikings let him. It helps when you have one of the best wide receiver duos in the league. Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison get separation on nearly every drop back and make life much easier for McCarthy.
Despite mediocre quarterback play this season, Jefferson still has recorded the fifth-most receiving yards per game. Touchdown regression has to be coming his way sooner rather than later. Jefferson only has two receiving touchdowns this season but a 33% end-zone target share, which is by far the most on the team. His ceiling is massive and is currently drawing less than 15% projected ownership.
Jordan Addison is only averaging 10 receiving yards per game less than Jefferson this season and has matched his touchdown total despite not playing in the first three games. Priced in the lower mid-range, Addison is a great value play given his connection with McCarthy. He is averaging 15.4 DraftKings points per game and has displayed big play ability and leads the Vikings with a 14.8 aDOT.
The Vikings are one of 10 teams this season who are averaging less than 100 rushing yards per game. With Head Coach Kevin O’Connell, the Vikings have notoriously been one of the best passing attacks. Avoid running backs Jordan Mason and Aaron Jones, and go with the stud wide receivers and cheap quarterback this week. Then we will get into the obvious bring-back option.
That would be Ravens’ wide receiver Zay Flowers. His breakout game is coming; it is only a matter of time. Flowers has a 30% target share and 32% air yards share but has been disappointing from a fantasy perspective. In his first game of the season, Flowers erupted for 143 receiving yards and one touchdown. Since then, he has yet to score and hasn’t had a game with over 75 receiving yards.
With Lamar Jackson back last week, the Ravens rolled to a 28-6 victory. Flowers caught all five of his targets for 64 yards but was not needed in the blowout. In this projected shootout on turf with the Vikings being able to push the Ravens, Flowers will get plenty of opportunity for a ceiling output.
This game may go under the radar, but it shouldn’t. There are so many playmakers on the field with high ceilings, and it is all affordable with a quarterback who costs less than $5,000 on DraftKings. Play for the high-paced game with both defenses being underwhelming thus far.
Pictured: Justin Jefferson
Photo Credit: Imagn
