Sunday of Week 7 has a solid 10-game slate on DraftKings, even with six teams getting their byes this week. There are six games in the early wave when contests lock at 1:00 p.m. ET, followed by four games in the later wave. Half of the 10 games on tap are divisional contests, so they carry some extra implications in the standings.
With 20 teams in the player pool, there are plenty of options to consider as you assemble your Week 7 NFL DFS squad. The highest implied team total belongs to the Chiefs in their divisional matchup with the Chargers, and that matchup also has the highest game total at 48.5.
Let’s take a look at a few players who stand out for Week 7, using the early projections in our NFL Player Models. Of course, these models update frequently.
Things will likely change between now and Sunday, but it’s still good to have a plan of attack.
If there’s news between now and lock — and there will be — the models will update to reflect that.
As always, they’re powered by Sean Koerner — the most accurate fantasy ranker in the industry from 2019-2021.
Finally, make sure to check out all the projections available for purchase (Chris Raybon’s come included with a FantasyLabs subscription) within the FantasyLabs Models. Subscribers now have the option to purchase Derek Carty’s THE BLITZ from our Marketplace. Projections from One Week Season and Establish the Run are available if you’re a subscriber to those specific sites (our optimizer is a separate add-on feature).
You can also combine them to create your own aggregate projections:
NFL DFS Quarterback Values
Geno Smith ($6,000) Seattle Seahawks (-7.5) vs. Arizona Cardinals (44.5 total)
Of the 20 quarterbacks expected to start on the main slate in Week 7, Geno Smith brings the highest Projected Plus/Minus in both FantasyLabs’ and Chris Raybon’s projections. He also has the top spot in both of those categories in an evenly blended three-way aggregate of Raybon, FantasyLabs, and THE BLITZ.
Last week, the Seahawks came back off a bye week and lost on the road to Cincinnati. Geno led the team on two potentially game-winning drives only to be stopped on fourth down inside the Bengals 10-yard line. Smith threw for 323 yards in the loss but didn’t get any touchdown tosses and fell just below salary-based expectations.
In his five games, Smith has five touchdown throws and has averaged 233.8 yards per game. The yardage total is definitely sufficient to make him a good value if he can just get a touchdown throw or two on Sunday’s slate.
This week, Smith and Seattle have a great matchup against the Cardinals, who have been the fifth-best matchup for QBs this season. They have given up nine touchdown passes and three rushing touchdowns to opposing quarterbacks in their six games while surrendering an average of 266.3 passing yards. They were demolished by Ja’Marr Chase and Joe Burrow two weeks ago and gave up three touchdowns to Daniel Jones earlier this season.
Smith led the ‘Hawks to two wins against Arizona last season, and with a 44.5-point total for this game, the Seahawks have the second-highest implied point total of all the teams on the main slate this week.
NFL DFS Wide Receiver Values
Wan’Dale Robinson ($3,800) New York Giants (+2) vs. Washington Commanders (39.5 total)
The Giants had to go to Tyrod Taylor at QB last week in place of Daniel Jones, but Wan’Dale Robinson continued to emerge as a strong value. Whichever starter is under center against Washington this week, Robinson is a nice play to consider under $4K.
Robinson is near the top of all the projections, but he is especially strong in Raybon’s projections, where he brings the highest Projected Plus/Minus and the top Pts/Sal. In the three-way aggregate projection, Robinson is in the top five for Projected Plus/Minus.
Early in the season, Robinson was eased back into action after tearing his ACL last November. He sat out the first two games of the season and played just 11 snaps in Week 3. Since then, though, he has exceeded salary-based expectations in three straight weeks. He has at least five catches in each of those three games and hauled in all eight of his targets on Sunday night against the Bills for a season-high 62 yards and 14.2 DraftKings points.
On the year, Robinson has 22 catches on just 25 targets for a total of 141 yards. He hasn’t found the end zone yet, but he’s growing into a bigger role and becoming more of the focus of the Giants’ air attack.
The Commanders should be a good matchup for Robinson since they have allowed nine wide receiver touchdowns in their six games this year, along with an average of over 200 receiving yards to wide receivers per game. If the Giants come near that number on Sunday, it should set up for a breakout game for Robinson.
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NFL DFS Running Back Values
Rachaad White ($5,100) Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2.5) vs. Atlanta Falcons (38.5 total)
Rachaad White is a very affordable option in the backfield this week in a good matchup against Atlanta. He has the highest Projected Plus/Minus of all running backs in the FantasyLabs projections and the second-highest in both Raybon’s and THE BLITZ projections.
After dominating the backfield for the first few games of the season, White shared more of the workload with Ke’Shawn Vaughn in Week 6 after the team’s bye week. However, even though Vaughn had six carries, he only managed nine yards, and White still was on the field for 78% of the offensive snaps. White also caught three of his four targets for 12 yards while Vaughn was held catchless.
White has hovered right around his salary-based expectations in his five games this season, with his best performance coming in Week 3 when he had 21.3 DraftKings points in the Bucs win over the Bears. That was when White scored his lone touchdown of the season and had a season-high 73 rushing yards.
While he is averaging just 46.5 rushing yards per game, he has stayed viable for fantasy by having multiple receptions in each of his games for an average of 19.6 receiving yards per game. He brings a relatively high floor as a result of his receiving work and should continue to be a pretty safe option as long as he stays on the field so much for Tampa Bay.
This week, he’ll face the Falcons, who lost last week to the Commanders and gave up two receiving touchdowns to running backs. They have allowed an average of over 83 rushing yards per game to opposing running backs. If the Bucs play from ahead, they could lean heavily on White, who is still getting enough volume to be a good play at just over $5K.
NFL DFS Tight End Values
Luke Musgrave ($3,300) Green Bay Packers (-1) at Denver Broncos (45 total)
In their matchup in the Mile High City, the Packers and Broncos bring the second-highest over/under on the slate. Luke Musgrave ranks in the top three in both Projected Plus/Minus and Pts/Sal in FantasyLabs and Raybon’s projections for this week as the rookie tight end returns from his bye week.
Before getting the week off, Musgrave matched his season-high with six catches and produced 34 yards in a loss to the Raiders on Monday night football. Despite his low yardage total, his six catches led the team, meaning the volume and opportunity are there for a big total.
Musgrave has exceeded salary-based expectations in three of his five games this season, and in one of those games, he had just one catch before leaving with a concussion. In his other four games, he has averaged 4.25 catches on 5.5 targets per contest.
This matchup against the Broncos couldn’t be better. Denver has allowed more DraftKings points to opposing tight ends than any other team in the NFL. They have given up an average of over 75 yards per game to the position and a total of three tight end touchdowns in six games.
