This is a breakdown of one-game DFS contests for the AFC Championship matchup featuring the Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday at 3:05 p.m. ET on CBS. Be sure to check our Models up until kickoff for up-to-date projections that reflect the latest breaking news.
Cash Game Strategy
Fresh off of a five-TD outburst against the Texans, Patrick Mahomes is the undisputed top option for the Captain spot on DraftKings. Mahomes wrecked the Titans for 446 yards and 3 TDs in a losing effort in Week 10. Our DraftKings Showdown Models peg Mahomes’ median projection just over 6 points above any other player on the slate, with a Projected Plus/Minus that clocks in more than 1.5 points better than any other option. A lineup captained by Mahomes can also fit Derrick Henry (23-188-2 in the first matchup), Damien Williams, Harrison Butker, and Jonnu Smith under the cap if you punt the last slot with MyCole Pruitt. Williams played 62-of-64 snaps last week and is averaging 1.4 TDs over his last five healthy contests. With the Chiefs favored by a touchdown and Ryan Tannehill having attempted 20 or fewer passes in each of the past three games, Williams is the riskier fade of the two at this point. Pruitt has caught multiple passes in three of his last four games and is the top projected value under $3,200 in our models.
On FanDuel, Mahomes-Henry-Williams leaves enough salary for Sammy Watkins and Mecole Hardman, who both project for more points than any Titans pass catcher except A.J. Brown.