Bengals vs. Browns Odds, Predictions, Betting Tips & NFL Trends for Monday Night Football

Bengals vs. Browns Odds

• Bengals Spread/Moneyline: -3 (-110), -170
• Browns Spread/Moneyline: -1.5 (-110), +155
• Over/Under: 45
• Date & Time: Monday, Oct. 31 | 8:15 pm ET
• TV Channel: ESPN

Monday Night Football will showcase a matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals (4-3) and Cleveland Browns (2-5). Oddsmakers peg the Bengals as the favorite with an implied win probability of 62%, leaving the Browns with a 38% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Bengals -3.0 with a Game Total of 45.0.

 

Cleveland’s primary advantage has been their offense, which ranks #4 in football at 381 yards per game. The quality of their rushing attack has led to much of their success. The Browns 5.27 yards per carry ranks #4-best in the NFL. The most important component of a strong ground game is a good offensive line. If the line isn’t opening up holes and creating space, it doesn’t matter how good a team’s running backs are. To that point, Cleveland’s line ranks #2-best in the league in run blocking. This presents a decided advantage for Cleveland given that the Bengals haven’t had much success in stopping the run this year, giving up 4.53 yards per carry (#18-worst in the NFL). When it comes to their defense, the Browns check in at #22 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 249 yards per game against Cleveland this year (#19 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #27 against them with 5.12 yards per ground attempt. This Browns defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, allowing them to complete just 56.4% of their passes (#3-lowest in the league). Cleveland’s defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, who have scorched them for 9.83 yards per target (#2-worst in the league)

Cincinnati’s biggest strength has been their offense, ranking #9 in the league with 364 yards per game. They’ve achieved offensive success largely through the quality of their passing attack, which is #3-best in football with 295 yards per game. This represents a particular advantage for Cincinnati given that the Browns have struggled so much to stop the pass this year, allowing 9.17 yards per target (#2-worst in the league). In terms of their defense, the Bengals have ranked #6 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 202 yards per game through the air against them (#6 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #15 with 4.53 yards per carry. Cincinnati has been most effective in shutting down opposing running backs, holding them to a 62.6% completion rate (#2-lowest). Cincinnati has been least effective in shutting down opposing tight ends, giving up a 81.5% completion rate (#8-highest).

Bengals Betting Tips

Joe Mixon – Over/Under 17.5 Carries

• THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 37.2% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Hayden Hurst – Over/Under 37.5 Receiving Yards

• Hayden Hurst has accumulated quite a few more air yards this season (26.0 per game) than he did last season (19.0 per game).

Joe Burrow Over/Under 38.5 Pass Attempts (-130/-102)

• The Cincinnati Bengals have gone no-huddle on 12.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

 

Browns Betting Tips

Jacoby Brissett – Over/Under 12.5 Rushing Yards

• THE BLITZ projects Jacoby Brissett to be a more important option in his offense’s running game this week (13.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (4.8% in games he has played).

Jacoby Brissett – Over/Under 19.5 Completions

• The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers project as the 7th-best collection of LBs in football this year in pass coverage. 

Monday Night Football NFL Betting Trends

Over/Under 45 Game Total (-110/-110)

• The Cleveland Browns have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)