Our JJ McCarthy player props for Commanders vs. Giants on Thursday Night Football are priced on Kalshi, and the Kalshi promo code (
- Washington comes in at 2-5-1 with the NFL’s 30th-ranked pass defense (240 yards allowed per game) and tied the Giants 27-27 in overtime in Week 5.
- New York is 5-2-1 after a 19-11 win at Philadelphia, and ESPN has the Giants as 2.5-point home favorites with McCarthy practicing again after a hip pointer.
Here is the full table of JJ McCarthy player props before we go through each Kalshi pick for Thursday night.
| 🏈 Pick | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| JJ McCarthy 225+ Passing Yards | Yes | 43¢ | $234.21 | Trade Now! |
| JJ McCarthy 20+ Rushing Yards | Yes | 42¢ | $239.90 | Trade Now! |
| JJ McCarthy 2+ Passing TD | Yes | 40¢ | $252.21 | Trade Now! |
| JJ McCarthy 1+ TD | Yes | 18¢ | $555.88 | Trade Now! |
| JJ McCarthy First TD Scorer | Yes | 5¢ | $1,875.20 | Trade Now! |
Want to compare other apps? See our full list of prediction market promo codes.
JJ McCarthy Player Props: Our Kalshi Picks for Commanders vs. Giants
Each pick below is a trade we’d actually make on Kalshi, and together they make up our JJ McCarthy player props and TNF best bets. For other options, browse the best prediction market apps, and see our NFL page for more coverage.
Use Kalshi promo code
JJ McCarthy Player Props: Passing Yards Pick (225+ Yards)
| 🏈 Pick | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| JJ McCarthy 225+ Passing Yards | Yes | 43¢ | $234.21 | Trade Now! |
Washington has the league’s 30th-ranked pass defense at 240 yards allowed per game, and two opposing quarterbacks have already topped 300 yards against the Commanders this season. That gives McCarthy the clearest route to this number.
McCarthy cleared 225 yards in two of his three games with pass attempts: 243 against the Saints in relief and 252 in a 20-of-28 outing at Houston. Against the Eagles he managed only 127, and a hip pointer kept him on the sideline for most of the third quarter.
Volume is the concern. The Giants pass on 53.6% of their plays, and McCarthy has cleared his passing yards prop only once this year.
Kalshi’s board shows 41¢, but orders fill at a higher average price, so the table uses 43¢. A $100 buy at that average comes to roughly 234 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes, for a stated return of $234.21.
- If McCarthy throws for 225 or more yards: Return of $234.21.
- If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.
That works out to roughly 2.3x against the league’s 30th-ranked pass defense.
JJ McCarthy Player Props: Rushing Yards Pick (20+ Yards)
| 🏈 Pick | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| JJ McCarthy 20+ Rushing Yards | Yes | 42¢ | $239.90 | Trade Now! |
McCarthy brings real value as a runner, and the season log backs it up: 51 rushing yards on nine carries, a 5.7-yard average, including 26 yards against the Saints and 22 against the Eagles. He has cleared 20 yards in two of his four appearances.
For his career he has 232 yards on 46 carries. Giants head coach John Harbaugh said the team feels fairly good about the hip, and McCarthy took every rep at Tuesday’s practice.
The hip is the risk. McCarthy sat out most of the third quarter against Philadelphia, and on a short week a scramble into contact could end his night early.
Kalshi’s board shows 40¢, but orders fill at a higher average price, so the table uses 42¢. A $100 buy at that average comes to roughly 240 shares, for a stated return of $239.90.
- If McCarthy rushes for 20 or more yards: Return of $239.90.
- If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.
That’s about a 2.4x return on a line he has cleared in two of four games.
JJ McCarthy Player Props: Passing Touchdowns Pick (2+ TDs)
| 🏈 Pick | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| JJ McCarthy 2+ Passing TD | Yes | 40¢ | $252.21 | Trade Now! |
Washington allows two passing touchdowns per game, 16 in total, and four quarterbacks have thrown three or more touchdown passes against the Commanders this season.
McCarthy has seen this defense before. In December 2025, while with Minnesota, he went 16-of-23 for 163 yards and three touchdowns against Washington without an interception.
The 2026 sample is small, though. He has one touchdown pass in four games, the Giants have scored 18 offensive touchdowns, and he has thrown just four red-zone passes.
Kalshi’s board shows 38¢, but orders fill at a higher average price, so the table uses 40¢. A $100 buy at that average comes to roughly 252 shares, for a stated return of $252.21.
- If McCarthy throws two or more touchdown passes: Return of $252.21.
- If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.
That’s roughly 2.5x on a market sitting just under a coin flip.
Anytime Touchdown Pick: JJ McCarthy 1+ Touchdown
| 🏈 Pick | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| JJ McCarthy 1+ TD | Yes | 18¢ | $555.88 | Trade Now! |
This prop pays if McCarthy scores a touchdown himself, and his legs give him a real path. He ran for four touchdowns in 2025, and all four of his career rushing scores came that season.
He has no rushing touchdowns in 2026 and only four red-zone pass attempts, so treat this as a leverage play rather than a core position.
Kalshi’s board shows 17¢, but orders fill at a higher average price, so the table uses 18¢. A $100 buy at that average comes to roughly 556 shares, for a stated return of $555.88.
- If McCarthy scores a touchdown: Return of $555.88.
- If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.
That’s about 5.6x on a quarterback who only occasionally scores with his legs.
First Touchdown Scorer Pick: JJ McCarthy
| 🏈 Pick | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade on Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| JJ McCarthy First TD Scorer | Yes | 5¢ | $1,875.20 | Trade Now! |
The first touchdown market is a lottery ticket, and Kalshi gives McCarthy a 5% chance to score the game’s opening touchdown.
His only realistic path is on the ground, either a designed run or a scramble on the Giants’ first scoring drive. With no rushing touchdown this season, keep the stake small.
At 5¢, a $100 buy gets roughly 1,875 shares, for a stated return of $1,875.20.
- If McCarthy scores the game’s first touchdown: Return of $1,875.20.
- If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.
That’s more than 18x, the biggest multiple on our board.
What’s Driving the Kalshi Prices on McCarthy
Every JJ McCarthy player prop on Kalshi is priced off the same story: a Washington pass defense allowing 240 yards per game against a quarterback with a small 2026 sample.
The board treats McCarthy as a threat with both his arm and his legs. Kalshi has 225+ passing yards at 43%, 20+ rushing yards at 42% and 2+ passing touchdowns at 40%, a tight cluster for a true dual-threat starter. The touchdown props sit much lower, at 18% for a touchdown and 5% for the first one.
Thin order books show up in the prices too. Four of our five tickets fill one to two cents above the board price.
McCarthy’s health is the swing factor. ESPN still lists him as questionable with the hip injury, and any change in his status could move every price here before kickoff. The Giants, 2.5-point favorites on ESPN, come in with the better record.
How to Trade These JJ McCarthy Player Props on Kalshi
Want to trade this board yourself? Here’s how to claim the bonus and get started:
- Read our Kalshi promo code page for full offer details.
- Watch the relevant market on Kalshi for live order book movement.
- When you’re ready, sign up with Kalshi promo code
LABS55 to get started!
Updated on 11/12/26
📝 KALSHI TERMS & CONDITIONS
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/55. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.
Final Thoughts on Our McCarthy Props
McCarthy gets a soft matchup against the league’s 30th-ranked pass defense, and our JJ McCarthy player props lean on both his arm and his legs.
The passing yards and passing touchdown lines have the most matchup support, while the touchdown tickets are bigger swings on a single play. Both come down to one healthy hip.
That’s every McCarthy prop we’d trade on Kalshi for Commanders vs. Giants on Thursday Night Football.
Commanders vs. Giants TNF FAQs
What are the best JJ McCarthy player props for Commanders vs. Giants?
Our top plays are McCarthy for 225 or more passing yards, 20 or more rushing yards, and two or more passing touchdowns, with the touchdown tickets as longer shots.
What are the best NFL prop bets for Thursday Night Football?
Our board centers on McCarthy and runs from a 43¢ price on his passing yards line down to a 5¢ price on the first touchdown market.
Which McCarthy props have the most matchup support?
The passing yards and passing touchdown lines, since Washington ranks 30th against the pass and allows two passing touchdowns per game.
What are our TNF best bets for this game?
We lean on McCarthy against a Washington pass defense that allows 240 yards per game, with the rushing and touchdown props as secondary plays.
Is there an anytime TD scorer pick for McCarthy?
McCarthy 1+ touchdown is the anytime touchdown ticket on our board, priced at 18¢. He ran for four touchdowns in 2025 and has no rushing touchdowns this season.
Is JJ McCarthy playing on Thursday Night Football?
ESPN lists McCarthy as questionable with a hip pointer, but he took every rep at Tuesday’s practice and Giants head coach John Harbaugh said the team feels fairly good about his status. Check the final injury report before you trade.
How has JJ McCarthy played against the Commanders?
McCarthy threw for 163 yards and three touchdowns against Washington in December 2025 while with Minnesota. He did not attempt a pass against the Commanders in his Week 5 appearance this season.
How do I use the Kalshi promo code?
Create an account, make a qualifying deposit, and enter the Kalshi promo code LABS55 during sign-up to unlock the $55 trading bonus, subject to the terms and conditions.
How do Kalshi player prop contracts resolve?
A contract resolves Yes if the stated result happens in the game and No if it doesn’t. Each share pays $1 when your side wins and nothing when it doesn’t.
Where can I watch Commanders vs. Giants?
Prime Video streams the Week 10 Thursday Night Football game.
YOU MAY ALSO LIKE
Kalshi Promo Code LABS: Snag $10 Bonus for Super Bowl LX Predictions Now
Cowboys vs. Packers Prediction Market Promos: Odds, Prediction, How to Watch
Cowboys vs. Packers Prediction Markets: Use Kalshi Promo Code LABS55 for $55 Bonus on SNF
Eagles vs. Commanders Prediction Market Promos: $305 in Bonuses for Week 8 SNF
