NFL Survivor Pool Week 4 Picks: Ravens, Vikings and Bills Lead the Board

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Week 3 Sent Survivor Pools Into Chaos

Two nationally relevant favorites went down hard.

Green Bay closed around a 5.5-point favorite before Atlanta walked into Lambeau Field and won 35-14. Philadelphia followed on Monday night, losing 27-7 to Chicago despite entering as a favorite.

Those results are another reminder that survivor is not simply about picking a team that should win. You need to balance win probability, matchup risk and whether using an elite team now costs you a stronger opportunity later.

Week 4 at least gives us two double-digit favorites at the top of the board.

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Cross-check those market prices against the sportsbook board before finalizing your NFL survivor pool Week 4 picks. The biggest favorites on the board are where our shortlist begins.

My Favorite NFL Survivor Pool Week 4 Picks

1. Baltimore Ravens vs. Tennessee Titans (-11.5)

Baltimore is the clearest starting point this week.

The Titans enter 0-3 and now draw one of the biggest favorites on the Week 4 board. Baltimore has considerably more offensive upside and gets the matchup at home.

There is always a case for saving an elite AFC contender for later, but survivor pools are already thinner after three weeks. Advancing comes first.

Baltimore tops my NFL survivor pool Week 4 picks.

2. Minnesota Vikings vs. Miami Dolphins (-10.5)

Minnesota gives you the strongest alternative if Baltimore is already burned or you want to save the Ravens.

The Vikings enter Week 4 undefeated, while Miami has started 0-3. Minnesota also gets this game at home and sits as another double-digit favorite.

The Vikings do not have quite the same market advantage as Baltimore, but the matchup is strong enough to make them one of the safest structural plays on the board.

Minnesota is my No. 2 Week 4 survivor option.

3. Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots (-7)

Buffalo carries a little more divisional risk, which keeps it behind Baltimore and Minnesota.

The Bills enter 3-0 and get New England at home after the Patriots were blown out by Jacksonville in Week 3. Buffalo has also scored at least 24 points in each of its first three games.

The main reason to hesitate is future value. There will be other weeks when Buffalo lands among the safest teams on the board.

Use the Bills if Baltimore or Minnesota is unavailable in your entry.

Full NFL Week 4 Schedule

Matchup	Kickoff (ET)	Spread
Thursday, Oct. 1
Steelers at Browns	8:15 p.m.	Steelers -2.5
Sunday, Oct. 4
Colts at Commanders (London)	9:30 a.m.	Colts -3.5
Titans at Ravens	1:00 p.m.	Ravens -11.5
Patriots at Bills	1:00 p.m.	Bills -7
Jets at Bears	1:00 p.m.	Bears -3
Jaguars at Bengals	1:00 p.m.	Bengals -2.5
Cowboys at Texans	1:00 p.m.	Texans -2.5
Cardinals at Giants	1:00 p.m.	Giants -1.5
Rams at Eagles	1:00 p.m.	Rams -2.5
Packers at Buccaneers	1:00 p.m.	Packers -3.5
Dolphins at Vikings	4:05 p.m.	Vikings -10.5
Chiefs at Raiders	4:25 p.m.	Chiefs -4.5
Chargers at Seahawks	4:25 p.m.	Seahawks -6.5
Broncos at 49ers	4:25 p.m.	49ers -3
Lions at Panthers	8:20 p.m.	Lions -3.5
Monday, Oct. 5
Falcons at Saints	8:15 p.m.	Saints -2.5

Lines can move before kickoff, so check the current board before submitting your survivor entry.

Locking In Your Week 4 Survivor Picks 2026

Start with Baltimore as the headline call among NFL survivor pool Week 4 picks. Minnesota is close behind and gives you a strong pivot if the Ravens are no longer available, while Buffalo provides a third high-confidence option.

I would stay away from the middle of the board for survivor purposes. San Francisco is undefeated but only laying around a field goal to Denver, and several other games are sitting inside one score.

Whichever team you choose, claim the NFL betting promos above, compare the Kalshi and Polymarket probabilities with the sportsbook board and check the final injury reports before locking your NFL survivor pool Week 4 picks.

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