I’m here to share a few of my top picks for today’s NFL slate on Underdog, with most of these selections grounded in our latest projections.
Keep in mind that these are some of our best-projected picks as of publication, but NFL news can change, potentially impacting the appeal of these plays. Our NFL DFS projections team continuously updates their inputs to reflect the latest information.
Below, I’ll outline my strategy for Underdog on Thursday.
First… Sign Up to Make NFL Underdog Picks
If you’re interested in joining the action but haven’t signed up yet, you can claim a special offer with our Underdog promo code “LABS” to unlock a generous bonus. Underdog is one of the better-known, most popular DFS pick’em sites. Each day, they offer player projections for NFL matchups. Our task is to decide whether a player will go higher or lower than those projected stats in their matchup. With a large pool of players available, you only need to select at least two picks to submit an entry.
I’ll be using our projections to find meaningful edges on how NFL players might fare in different stat categories. For additional insight as you make your NFL Underdog picks today, check out our fantasy pick’em tool, where you’ll find all of our picks for a variety of sites.

Underdog NFL Picks for Thursday
Now that you’re signed up, here are some of our top NFL picks on Underdog for Thursday:
- T.J. Hockenson lower than 3.5 Receptions
- Kimani Vidal lower than 98.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
- Patrick Mahomes higher than 23.5 Completions
Vikings vs. Lions NFL Underdog Predictions
T.J. Hockenson lower than 3.5 Receptions
The receptions projection for T.J. Hockenson looks like a strong pick based on the current data. The Underdog projection of 3.5 compares favorably based on our NFL simulations. This pick projects to hit 60.4% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 4.8% edge.
Chargers vs. Titans NFL Underdog Predictions
Kimani Vidal lower than 98.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
The rushing + receiving yards projection for Kimani Vidal looks like a strong pick based on the current data. The Underdog projection of 98.5 compares favorably based on our NFL simulations. This pick projects to hit 61.0% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 3.2% edge.
Chiefs vs. Bills NFL Underdog Predictions
Patrick Mahomes higher than 23.5 Completions
The completions projection for Patrick Mahomes looks like a strong pick based on the current data. The Underdog projection of 23.5 compares favorably based on our NFL simulations. This pick projects to hit 60.7% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 2.9% edge.
Pictured: Patrick Mahomes
Photo Credit: Imagn

