Our NFL product at FantasyLabs is powered by our Models, which feature projections from Sean Koerner. He’s been FantasyPros’ most accurate in-season ranker in three of the past four seasons, which makes our Models a must-have for the serious DFS player.
One of the best ways to incorporate his projections is by looking at each player’s Projected Plus/Minus on both DraftKings and FanDuel. Projected Plus/Minus is a proprietary metric that measures projected points vs. expected points. The higher the number, the better that player is expected to perform relative to his price tag.
If you wind up rostering players who finish the week with a good Plus/Minus, there’s a good chance you’re going to find yourself at the top of the leaderboards.
Here are six players who are popping in our NFL Models for Week 2.
Josh Allen ($5,300 on DraftKings) @ New York Giants
Allen did a lot of typical Allen things Week 1 vs. the Jets. He did some good things, including rushing for 38 yards a TD, and he did some bad things, like throwing two picks and losing a fumble. Overall, his 19.96 DraftKings points don’t exactly jump off the page.
Still, there was plenty to like with Allen in Week 1. For starters, Buffalo threw on 60.32% of plays in that contest, which ranked 17th in the league. They passed on just 53.57% of plays in 2018, which was the fourth-lowest mark in football. More pass plays will give Allen more opportunities to put his big arm on display, like he did when he connected with John Brown for a 38-yard TD in the fourth quarter.
More pass plays also means more scrambles, and that’s where Allen really makes his money. He’s averaged 51.5 rushing yards per game through his first 13 contests, which is the top mark among all current QBs. Rushing value has historically led to fantasy success, with QBs who average at least 30 yards per game on the ground averaging a Plus/Minus of +1.93 on DraftKings (per the Trends tool).
He has a great matchup this week vs. the New York Giants, who were absolutely shredded by Dak Prescott in Week 1. His $5,300 salary on DraftKings also comes with a Bargain Rating of 98%, which makes him an excellent value for cash games.