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MLB Pro Model Stacks: Monday 5/22

This series uses the FantasyLabs Tools to analyze MLB stacks in the day’s slate. The series does not provide play or fade recommendations. It provides analysis.

Baltimore Orioles

With the Lineup Builder, it’s easy to incorporate stacks into DFS rosters. The highest-rated four-man FanDuel stack in the CSURAM88 Model belongs to the Orioles, who are one of two teams presently implied to score at least 5.0 runs (per the Vegas Dashboard):

All four batters have averaged a recent fly ball rate of at least 41 percent, and Chris Davis — who has historically averaged a +2.10 FanDuel Plus/Minus at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against right-handed pitchers (per our Trends tool) — has recorded a recent batted ball distance differential of +42 feet and a hard hit differential of +25 percentage points. Twins starter Kyle Gibson ranks in the bottom four in WHIP, HR/9, and SO/9 among projected starters, and he’s allowed six home runs in six starts this season while throwing no more than 5.1 innings in any outing. The Orioles offer a Team Value Rating of 74, the second-highest mark in the slate, and their mix of upside and value could inflate their ownership, which Pro subscribers can review after lineup lock via our DFS Ownership Dashboard.

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks lead all teams with an implied run total of 5.3, and every projected hitter presently possesses at least seven DraftKings Pro Trends. No other team has more than three players with at least six DraftKings Pro Trends:

Jake Lamb leads all projected starters with a recent batted ball distance of 278 feet, Paul Goldschmidt ranks second with a recent hard hit rate of 62 percent, and White Sox starter Miguel Gonzalez has surrendered at least five runs in three of his past four starts. Jeff Mathis leads the lineup with a 91 percent Bargain Rating and has 10 Pro Trends, and bottom-of-the-order batters with comparable value, Pro Trends, and team totals have done well with a +1.38 Plus/Minus and 45.8 percent Consistency Rating. With a slate-high 71 Weather Rating, the White Sox-Diamondbacks game has a zero percent chance of precipitation in a slate that will likely be plagued with precipitation.

Chicago Cubs

Among today’s projected starters, three of the nine top hitters in ISO belong to the Cubs:

Last week when the Cubs played three home games with the wind blowing away from home plate at 10-plus miles per hour, they scored nine, seven, and nine runs and recorded six home runs total. In comparable circumstances, Bryant and Happ have collectively crushed with 11.38 DraftKings points and a +2.99 Plus/Minus. The lines for this game have yet to be released, but the Cubs will likely be implied for a high number of runs. On top of that, they could have deflated ownership, considering that the Giants-Cubs game has a 68 percent chance of precipitation. Slight speculative exposure could be warranted in guaranteed prize pools.

Good luck, and be sure to read Bryan Mears’ MLB Breakdown!

News Updates

After this piece is published, FantasyLabs is likely to provide news updates on a number of players herein mentioned. Be sure to stay ahead of your competition with our industry-leading DFS-focused news blurbs:

This series uses the FantasyLabs Tools to analyze MLB stacks in the day’s slate. The series does not provide play or fade recommendations. It provides analysis.

Baltimore Orioles

With the Lineup Builder, it’s easy to incorporate stacks into DFS rosters. The highest-rated four-man FanDuel stack in the CSURAM88 Model belongs to the Orioles, who are one of two teams presently implied to score at least 5.0 runs (per the Vegas Dashboard):

All four batters have averaged a recent fly ball rate of at least 41 percent, and Chris Davis — who has historically averaged a +2.10 FanDuel Plus/Minus at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against right-handed pitchers (per our Trends tool) — has recorded a recent batted ball distance differential of +42 feet and a hard hit differential of +25 percentage points. Twins starter Kyle Gibson ranks in the bottom four in WHIP, HR/9, and SO/9 among projected starters, and he’s allowed six home runs in six starts this season while throwing no more than 5.1 innings in any outing. The Orioles offer a Team Value Rating of 74, the second-highest mark in the slate, and their mix of upside and value could inflate their ownership, which Pro subscribers can review after lineup lock via our DFS Ownership Dashboard.

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks lead all teams with an implied run total of 5.3, and every projected hitter presently possesses at least seven DraftKings Pro Trends. No other team has more than three players with at least six DraftKings Pro Trends:

Jake Lamb leads all projected starters with a recent batted ball distance of 278 feet, Paul Goldschmidt ranks second with a recent hard hit rate of 62 percent, and White Sox starter Miguel Gonzalez has surrendered at least five runs in three of his past four starts. Jeff Mathis leads the lineup with a 91 percent Bargain Rating and has 10 Pro Trends, and bottom-of-the-order batters with comparable value, Pro Trends, and team totals have done well with a +1.38 Plus/Minus and 45.8 percent Consistency Rating. With a slate-high 71 Weather Rating, the White Sox-Diamondbacks game has a zero percent chance of precipitation in a slate that will likely be plagued with precipitation.

Chicago Cubs

Among today’s projected starters, three of the nine top hitters in ISO belong to the Cubs:

Last week when the Cubs played three home games with the wind blowing away from home plate at 10-plus miles per hour, they scored nine, seven, and nine runs and recorded six home runs total. In comparable circumstances, Bryant and Happ have collectively crushed with 11.38 DraftKings points and a +2.99 Plus/Minus. The lines for this game have yet to be released, but the Cubs will likely be implied for a high number of runs. On top of that, they could have deflated ownership, considering that the Giants-Cubs game has a 68 percent chance of precipitation. Slight speculative exposure could be warranted in guaranteed prize pools.

Good luck, and be sure to read Bryan Mears’ MLB Breakdown!

News Updates

After this piece is published, FantasyLabs is likely to provide news updates on a number of players herein mentioned. Be sure to stay ahead of your competition with our industry-leading DFS-focused news blurbs: